Breakthrough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2025-08-22 | Won |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2024-08-09 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1131 | 38% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 999 | 1141 | 31% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 1153 | 33% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1189 | 1215 | 46% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1033.7 vs 1123.6 has a 37.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).