Bridge Over the River Queen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (20 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 23
Defender wins (German): 21
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 884 | 60% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 866 | 989 | 33% | 2025-06-29 | Won |
| 987 | 1014 | 46% | 2025-05-26 | Won |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2025-04-25 | Won |
| 947 | 1047 | 36% | 2025-02-05 | Won |
| 943 | 1099 | 29% | 2025-01-16 | Won |
| 1159 | 1215 | 42% | 2025-01-07 | Won |
| 1186 | 1186 | 50% | 2024-10-08 | Lost |
| 880 | 891 | 48% | 2024-09-26 | Won |
| 755 | 831 | 39% | 2024-09-21 | Lost |
| 1029 | 769 | 82% | 2024-08-27 | Won |
| 999 | 779 | 78% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1228 | 1156 | 60% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1263 | 961 | 85% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 1178 | 901 | 83% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1129 | 50% | 2024-05-14 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2024-03-28 | Won |
| 983 | 1002 | 47% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1099 | 996 | 64% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1037.9 vs 991.6 has a 56.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).