Securing Cider Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (3 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Canadian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 976 | 55% | 2025-03-29 | Won |
| 1268 | 964 | 85% | 2024-09-28 | Won |
| 964 | 977 | 48% | 2024-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1080.3 vs 972.3 has a 65.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).