Securing Cider Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (3 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Canadian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 976 | 57% | 2025-03-29 | Won |
| 1277 | 958 | 86% | 2024-09-28 | Won |
| 964 | 975 | 48% | 2024-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1088.7 vs 969.7 has a 66.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).