The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (British): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 890 | 82% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 1203 | 1163 | 56% | 2025-06-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1099 | 48% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1201 | 47% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 989 | 1090 | 36% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1023 | 876 | 70% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 1307 | 999 | 85% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 891 | 869 | 53% | 2024-11-19 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1178 | 980 | 76% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 1010 | 1020 | 49% | 2024-09-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1017 | 50% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1138 | 991 | 70% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1077.9 vs 1010.8 has a 59.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).