The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (17 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (British): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 984 | 57% | 2026-03-14 | Won |
| 884 | 900 | 48% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 1166 | 904 | 82% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 1154 | 1164 | 49% | 2025-06-28 | Won |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1099 | 48% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1201 | 44% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 973 | 1094 | 33% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 967 | 874 | 63% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 1306 | 999 | 85% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 891 | 869 | 53% | 2024-11-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1158 | 952 | 77% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 973 | 1035 | 41% | 2024-09-27 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1018 | 57% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1141 | 991 | 70% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 998.8 has a 57.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).