The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (14 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (British): 23
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1167 | 48% | 2025-06-28 | Won |
| 1022 | 926 | 63% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1120 | 50% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1205 | 48% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 989 | 1100 | 35% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 994 | 952 | 56% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 1317 | 981 | 87% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 892 | 901 | 49% | 2024-11-19 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 987 | 76% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 956 | 1002 | 43% | 2024-09-27 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1015 | 49% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1151 | 991 | 72% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1068.2 vs 1021.7 has a 56.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).