Hill 424
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (13 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (American): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 919 | 1160 | 20% | 2026-04-23 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1025 | 49% | 2026-03-15 | Won |
| 1080 | 1030 | 57% | 2025-06-04 | Won |
| 1146 | 1061 | 62% | 2025-04-11 | Tied |
| 1163 | 938 | 79% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 924 | 940 | 48% | 2025-02-27 | Won |
| 820 | 1170 | 12% | 2025-02-18 | Lost |
| 1012 | 843 | 73% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 1078 | 941 | 69% | 2025-02-06 | Won |
| 1169 | 1208 | 44% | 2025-01-31 | Won |
| 1029 | 1072 | 44% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 884 | 73% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1041.1 vs 1025.2 has a 52.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).