Under the Bloody Birches
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (4 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (Finnish): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 786 | 1219 | 8% | 2026-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1080 | 64% | 2026-01-10 | | Won |
| 1021 | 987 | 55% | 2026-01-09 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1143 | 64% | 2025-04-12 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1057.8 vs 1107.3 has a 42.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).