Expelled!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (7 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2026-07-20 | | Won |
| 882 | 1062 | 26% | 2025-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 1138 | 70% | 2025-11-07 | | Won |
| 1289 | 1138 | 70% | 2025-11-07 | | Won |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2025-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 1131 | 39% | 2025-08-09 | | Won |
| 952 | 1049 | 36% | 2025-04-24 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1080.4 vs 1077 has a 50.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).