Expelled!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (7 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2026-07-20 | | Won |
| 917 | 1090 | 27% | 2025-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1258 | 1170 | 62% | 2025-11-07 | | Won |
| 1258 | 1170 | 62% | 2025-11-07 | | Won |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2025-10-05 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1174 | 22% | 2025-08-09 | | Won |
| 965 | 1036 | 40% | 2025-04-24 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 1098.4 has a 44.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).