Expelled!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2026-07-20 | Won |
| 913 | 1083 | 27% | 2025-11-26 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1227 | 43% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1180 | 1227 | 43% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 914 | 1083 | 27% | 2025-10-05 | Lost |
| 945 | 1126 | 26% | 2025-08-09 | Won |
| 986 | 1036 | 43% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1035 vs 1105.9 has a 39.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).