West of the Merderet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 4
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 818 | 1003 | 26% | 2026-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2026-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1093 | 949 | 70% | 2026-09-03 | A | Won |
| 864 | 997 | 32% | 2026-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 967 | 63% | 2026-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1196 | 971 | 79% | 2026-02-01 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1016.5 vs 981.2 has a 55.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).