Bloody Burgberg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 974 | 65% | 2026-02-07 | | Won |
| 1069 | 904 | 72% | 2026-01-25 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1140 | 35% | 2026-01-15 | | Won |
| 872 | 1164 | 16% | 2025-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2025-12-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2025-11-26 | | Won |
| 1129 | 1000 | 68% | 2025-11-01 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1230 | 32% | 2025-07-30 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1045.1 has a 49.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).