Bloody Burgberg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (8 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 977 | 64% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1053 | 884 | 73% | 2026-01-25 | Won |
| 1002 | 1174 | 27% | 2026-01-15 | Won |
| 904 | 1166 | 18% | 2025-12-21 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-12-02 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 943 | 1029 | 38% | 2025-11-01 | Won |
| 1099 | 1191 | 37% | 2025-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1015.9 vs 1060.8 has a 43.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).