Bloody Burgberg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (8 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 980 | 60% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1052 | 910 | 69% | 2026-01-25 | Won |
| 1008 | 1255 | 19% | 2026-01-15 | Won |
| 903 | 1164 | 18% | 2025-12-21 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-12-02 | Won |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 992 | 1030 | 45% | 2025-11-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1186 | 38% | 2025-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1018.9 vs 1071.6 has a 42.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).