Bloody Burgberg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (8 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1053 | 977 | 61% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1044 | 965 | 61% | 2026-01-25 | Won |
| 1012 | 1175 | 28% | 2026-01-15 | Won |
| 910 | 1162 | 19% | 2025-12-21 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-12-02 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 1156 | 1061 | 63% | 2025-11-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1165 | 40% | 2025-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1039.4 vs 1068.4 has a 45.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).