Foreshadowing Ruin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 888 | 970 | 38% | 2026-05-09 | Lost |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2026-02-03 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1140 | 50% | 2025-12-18 | Lost |
| 1083 | 902 | 74% | 2025-12-12 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1215 | 49% | 2025-10-29 | Won |
| 1215 | 997 | 78% | 2025-08-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1080.5 vs 1055.2 has a 53.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).