Foreshadowing Ruin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (6 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 961 | 918 | 56% | 2026-05-09 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2026-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2025-12-18 | | Lost |
| 1079 | 916 | 72% | 2025-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1181 | 26% | 2025-10-29 | | Won |
| 1181 | 998 | 74% | 2025-08-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1026.8 vs 1053.5 has a 46.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).