The Hegyfarok Hayfork
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (3 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German/Hungarian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2026-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2026-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 1133 | 38% | 2025-10-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1016.3 vs 1128.7 has a 34.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).