Crossing Chaos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (19 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (French / Belgian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 1218 | 50% | 2026-05-28 | Won |
| 959 | 1031 | 40% | 2026-03-30 | Lost |
| 1271 | 1245 | 54% | 2026-03-27 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1071 | 50% | 2026-03-26 | Lost |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2026-03-23 | Won |
| 915 | 1151 | 20% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1218 | 51% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 942 | 1208 | 18% | 2026-03-13 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1052 | 48% | 2026-03-13 | Won |
| 1243 | 1161 | 62% | 2026-03-13 | Lost |
| 1038 | 973 | 59% | 2026-03-06 | Lost |
| 970 | 1034 | 41% | 2026-03-05 | Won |
| 1243 | 1243 | 50% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 980 | 980 | 50% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1136 | 48% | 2026-01-07 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2025-12-14 | Won |
| 1035 | 1007 | 54% | 2025-11-22 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1091 | 55% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 1162 | 891 | 83% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1083.6 vs 1086.2 has a 49.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).