Crossing Chaos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (17 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (French / Belgian): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1031 | 42% | 2026-03-30 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1050 | 52% | 2026-03-26 | Lost |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2026-03-23 | Won |
| 915 | 1094 | 26% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1220 | 51% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 884 | 1208 | 13% | 2026-03-13 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1022 | 52% | 2026-03-13 | Won |
| 1208 | 1161 | 57% | 2026-03-13 | Lost |
| 1038 | 973 | 59% | 2026-03-06 | Lost |
| 970 | 1034 | 41% | 2026-03-05 | Won |
| 1169 | 1208 | 44% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1028 | 50% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1136 | 48% | 2026-01-07 | Lost |
| 1048 | 960 | 62% | 2025-12-14 | Won |
| 1035 | 1007 | 54% | 2025-11-22 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1036 | 63% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 1162 | 906 | 81% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1061 vs 1056.7 has a 50.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).