The Forester's Lodge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (4 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1243 | 24% | 2025-12-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1042 | 51% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
| 1194 | 1002 | 75% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
| 1150 | 959 | 75% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1110 vs 1061.5 has a 56.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).