Independence Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (7 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Czechoslovakian): 8
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 753 | 81% | 2026-03-28 | Lost |
| 985 | 971 | 52% | 2026-03-01 | Won |
| 887 | 1167 | 17% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 884 | 1052 | 28% | 2026-01-14 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1204 | 52% | 2025-12-16 | Won |
| 1174 | 1204 | 46% | 2025-12-16 | Won |
| 1036 | 1022 | 52% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1026 vs 1053.3 has a 46.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).