Independence Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (14 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Czechoslovakian): 16
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 914 | 64% | 2026-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2026-06-26 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1065 | 59% | 2026-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2026-05-28 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2026-05-23 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2026-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 981 | 65% | 2026-05-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2026-04-30 | | Won |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2026-03-28 | | Lost |
| 989 | 971 | 53% | 2026-03-01 | | Won |
| 872 | 1164 | 16% | 2026-02-28 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1069 | 28% | 2026-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1211 | 42% | 2025-12-16 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1022 | 59% | 2025-10-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1039.7 vs 1041.4 has a 49.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).