Independence Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (3 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Czechoslovakian): 7
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 825 | 1009 | 26% | 2026-01-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-12-16 | Won |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-12-16 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 945.7 vs 1003 has a 41.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).