Conference Approved
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 4
Defender wins (North Korean): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1131 | 42% | 2026-04-14 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1161 | 38% | 2025-12-25 | | Won |
| 1202 | 949 | 81% | 2025-12-13 | | Won |
| 991 | 1183 | 25% | 2025-12-09 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1086 vs 1106 has a 47.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).