Dash for the Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 125 (34 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 80
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 904 | 81% | 2026-07-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2026-01-24 | A | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-12-06 | | Lost |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2023-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2021-11-16 | | Won |
| 1227 | 1013 | 77% | 2021-11-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2021-07-26 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1040 | 35% | 2021-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2020-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1026 | 981 | 56% | 2017-12-20 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2017-05-17 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2016-11-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2015-04-11 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1233 | 19% | 2015-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2015-03-01 | | Lost |
| 983 | 960 | 53% | 2015-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1283 | 1134 | 70% | 2014-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2013-12-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 994 | 51% | 2012-11-25 | | Lost |
| 951 | 996 | 44% | 2012-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2012-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1093 | 56% | 2012-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2011-07-11 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1101 | 68% | 2010-07-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2009-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2008-10-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 827 | 73% | 2008-02-10 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2006-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 2004-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2004-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2000-09-01 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 1994-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 1992-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1061.6 vs 1025.4 has a 55.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).