Defiance on Hill 30
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (American): 48
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 994 | 959 | 55% | 2024-09-28 | Won |
| 880 | 878 | 50% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 959 | 1046 | 38% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2023-05-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1165 | 25% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1163 | 48% | 2022-07-11 | Lost |
| 1129 | 969 | 72% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2021-11-25 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2021-09-06 | Lost |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-09-03 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 989 | 1004 | 48% | 2021-01-01 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
| 892 | 1031 | 31% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 846 | 67% | 2020-01-31 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1020 | 52% | 2020-01-24 | Won |
| 1158 | 912 | 80% | 2019-12-15 | Won |
| 1018 | 1248 | 21% | 2019-09-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 966 | 70% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-05-02 | Won |
| 949 | 1084 | 31% | 2019-01-17 | Lost |
| 1019 | 985 | 55% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1046 | 44% | 2018-07-12 | Won |
| 1030 | 1142 | 34% | 2018-07-08 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 898 | 856 | 56% | 2018-05-10 | Lost |
| 973 | 994 | 47% | 2018-01-22 | Lost |
| 944 | 1157 | 23% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2017-01-08 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1029 | 60% | 2016-12-11 | Lost |
| 959 | 971 | 48% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1075 | 1065 | 51% | 2016-09-20 | Won |
| 984 | 1021 | 45% | 2016-08-25 | Lost |
| 903 | 931 | 46% | 2016-06-26 | Won |
| 999 | 903 | 63% | 2016-02-06 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 2015-07-31 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2015-06-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 962 | 61% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2014-09-18 | Won |
| 1154 | 1100 | 58% | 2014-07-16 | Won |
| 847 | 869 | 47% | 2014-06-27 | Lost |
| 1017 | 999 | 53% | 2014-04-10 | Won |
| 1068 | 831 | 80% | 2014-03-29 | Lost |
| 944 | 1094 | 30% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1084 | 43% | 2014-02-06 | Won |
| 1097 | 983 | 66% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1027 | 75% | 2013-12-12 | Won |
| 946 | 1051 | 35% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 931 | 1219 | 16% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 879 | 1219 | 12% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2013-08-07 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1038 | 68% | 2013-04-16 | Lost |
| 951 | 919 | 55% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 963 | 1047 | 38% | 2012-09-11 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1084 | 43% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1062 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 995 | 64% | 2012-03-19 | Lost |
| 995 | 1098 | 36% | 2012-03-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 919 | 74% | 2012-02-29 | Won |
| 1039 | 1073 | 45% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 987 | 60% | 2011-11-05 | Won |
| 1107 | 1089 | 53% | 2010-07-23 | Lost |
| 1083 | 920 | 72% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
| 1018 | 852 | 72% | 2010-03-25 | Lost |
| 1016 | 963 | 58% | 2009-11-08 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1012 | 56% | 2009-06-04 | Lost |
| 993 | 1310 | 14% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 969 | 1125 | 29% | 2008-06-19 | Won |
| 913 | 1149 | 20% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
| 959 | 920 | 56% | 2007-10-30 | Won |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2007-06-11 | Lost |
| 1047 | 949 | 64% | 2007-02-11 | Won |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2006-12-29 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-04-11 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2005-04-15 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 968 | 1097 | 32% | 2004-08-07 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2004-06-01 | Lost |
| 1027 | 943 | 62% | 2002-06-06 | Lost |
| 978 | 1136 | 29% | 2002-03-17 | Won |
| 866 | 1036 | 27% | 1998-06-08 | Lost |
| 1081 | 976 | 65% | 1997-08-01 | Won |
| 919 | 1248 | 13% | 1994-04-09 | Won |
| 1038 | 1248 | 23% | 1993-07-14 | Won |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 1991-03-16 | Lost |
Attacking (41 wins) average ELOs: 1021.5 vs 1034.5 has a 48.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).