Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 320 (57 on the archive and 263 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 214
Defender wins (German): 105
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 872 | 73% | 2024-08-22 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1009 | 52% | 2024-07-08 | Won |
| 991 | 1019 | 46% | 2023-11-18 | Lost |
| 967 | 1135 | 28% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 984 | 1070 | 38% | 2022-04-05 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2020-07-15 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2019-10-17 | Lost |
| 1193 | 967 | 79% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1046 | 46% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
| 991 | 1152 | 28% | 2016-11-02 | Lost |
| 1023 | 964 | 58% | 2016-07-26 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2015-11-04 | Won |
| 989 | 1051 | 41% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
| 1051 | 989 | 59% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1114 | 937 | 73% | 2015-10-24 | Won |
| 985 | 1061 | 39% | 2015-09-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 951 | 55% | 2015-09-15 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2015-08-28 | Won |
| 951 | 843 | 65% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
| 977 | 1009 | 45% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 937 | 1035 | 36% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1037 | 1063 | 46% | 2014-08-16 | Won |
| 846 | 974 | 32% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
| 1254 | 1203 | 57% | 2014-04-05 | Won |
| 1254 | 956 | 85% | 2014-03-20 | Won |
| 802 | 1203 | 9% | 2013-12-05 | Won |
| 1053 | 1063 | 49% | 2013-09-03 | Lost |
| 956 | 1021 | 41% | 2013-08-25 | Won |
| 1045 | 1096 | 43% | 2013-05-06 | Won |
| 861 | 951 | 37% | 2013-04-21 | Won |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-05-05 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1100 | 49% | 2012-03-14 | Won |
| 937 | 1040 | 36% | 2012-02-07 | Won |
| 1135 | 1151 | 48% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1038 | 1333 | 15% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1041 | 69% | 2011-01-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2010-01-15 | Won |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2009-06-23 | Won |
| 939 | 1062 | 33% | 2008-12-17 | Lost |
| 939 | 1062 | 33% | 2008-12-17 | Lost |
| 939 | 1062 | 33% | 2008-12-12 | Won |
| 1047 | 937 | 65% | 2007-07-22 | Won |
| 1021 | 862 | 71% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-01-12 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1117 | 37% | 2006-07-05 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2005-01-19 | Won |
| 1002 | 1028 | 46% | 2002-01-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1010 | 57% | 2000-01-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 1998-12-06 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1063 | 64% | 1998-05-07 | Lost |
| 948 | 976 | 46% | 1997-07-16 | Won |
| 983 | 1228 | 20% | 1995-11-04 | Won |
| 881 | 1193 | 14% | 1994-04-11 | Won |
Attacking (38 wins) average ELOs: 1011.1 vs 1027.9 has a 47.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).