Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 322 (60 on the archive and 263 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 217
Defender wins (German): 105
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 904 | 81% | 2026-03-21 | | Won |
| 1041 | 1000 | 56% | 2024-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-07-08 | | Won |
| 990 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-11-18 | | Lost |
| 897 | 1132 | 21% | 2023-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2022-04-05 | | Won |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2020-07-15 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2019-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 957 | 73% | 2019-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-02-10 | | Won |
| 992 | 1141 | 30% | 2016-11-02 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 964 | 58% | 2016-07-26 | | Won |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2016-03-13 | | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-02-14 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-02-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2015-11-04 | | Won |
| 988 | 1041 | 42% | 2015-11-01 | | Won |
| 1041 | 988 | 58% | 2015-10-25 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-10-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2015-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 981 | 53% | 2015-09-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2015-08-28 | | Won |
| 981 | 829 | 71% | 2015-05-30 | | Won |
| 975 | 983 | 49% | 2015-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2014-11-10 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1050 | 48% | 2014-08-16 | | Won |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2014-05-16 | | Won |
| 1284 | 1134 | 70% | 2014-04-05 | | Won |
| 1284 | 1000 | 84% | 2014-03-20 | | Won |
| 808 | 1134 | 13% | 2013-12-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2013-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1021 | 47% | 2013-08-25 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1108 | 41% | 2013-05-06 | | Won |
| 862 | 951 | 37% | 2013-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2012-09-22 | | Won |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2012-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1093 | 1101 | 49% | 2012-03-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2012-02-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2012-02-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2011-01-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1041 | 44% | 2010-01-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 847 | 71% | 2009-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2008-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2008-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2008-12-12 | | Won |
| 1047 | 1107 | 41% | 2007-07-22 | | Won |
| 1021 | 862 | 71% | 2007-07-07 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2006-07-05 | | Won |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2006-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1001 | 58% | 2005-01-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2002-01-01 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2000-01-01 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 1999-07-24 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 1998-05-07 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 1997-07-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 1995-11-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 1994-04-11 | | Won |
Attacking (41 wins) average ELOs: 1012 vs 1029.6 has a 47.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).