Silence that Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 488 (87 on the archive and 401 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 181
Defender wins (German): 307
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 977 | 1008 | 46% | 2026-03-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 869 | 68% | 2024-12-07 | Won | |
| 1240 | 1000 | 80% | 2024-09-21 | Won | |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-07-27 | Won | |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2022-08-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1010 | 49% | 2022-06-12 | Lost | |
| 1038 | 840 | 76% | 2022-04-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2022-04-28 | Lost | |
| 970 | 969 | 50% | 2021-12-09 | Lost | |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-03-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2021-03-08 | Lost | |
| 1152 | 994 | 71% | 2021-02-13 | Won | |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-12-14 | Won | |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2020-08-01 | Won | |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2020-08-01 | Won | |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-01-19 | Lost | |
| 966 | 1139 | 27% | 2019-10-31 | Won | |
| 1108 | 911 | 76% | 2019-07-26 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2019-07-13 | Won | |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2019-07-13 | Won | |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2018-11-12 | Lost | |
| 953 | 1123 | 27% | 2018-09-30 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2018-09-24 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2018-06-11 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2018-06-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2017-10-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2017-08-21 | Won | |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-03-11 | Lost | |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-03-02 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2016-12-14 | Lost | |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2016-10-14 | Won | |
| 1017 | 1021 | 49% | 2016-09-25 | Lost | |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-11-17 | Lost | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2015-08-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-08-01 | Lost | |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2015-05-15 | Lost | |
| 981 | 1233 | 19% | 2015-03-07 | Lost | |
| 981 | 1233 | 19% | 2015-03-07 | Lost | |
| 999 | 1126 | 32% | 2014-11-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2014-10-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2014-08-06 | Won | |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2014-06-05 | Lost | |
| 962 | 1000 | 45% | 2014-01-26 | Won | |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-12-15 | Lost | |
| 1202 | 1021 | 74% | 2013-10-14 | Won | |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2013-10-12 | Won | |
| 829 | 1075 | 20% | 2013-09-09 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2013-06-10 | Lost | |
| 1150 | 1099 | 57% | 2013-01-29 | Won | |
| 1074 | 1004 | 60% | 2012-11-23 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2012-11-05 | Won | |
| 1146 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-10-22 | Won | |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2012-05-29 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2012-02-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 870 | 68% | 2011-10-10 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2011-03-11 | Won | |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2011-03-11 | Won | |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2009-11-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2009-10-27 | Lost | |
| 1152 | 1003 | 70% | 2009-10-08 | Lost | |
| 1069 | 1000 | 60% | 2009-09-19 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2009-08-05 | Lost | |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2008-09-24 | Lost | |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2008-08-15 | Lost | |
| 1059 | 985 | 60% | 2007-11-17 | Lost | |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2007-01-08 | Lost | |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2006-08-03 | Lost | |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2006-06-09 | Lost | |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2006-05-06 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2005-05-15 | Lost | |
| 1013 | 1035 | 47% | 2005-01-26 | Lost | |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 2005-01-11 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2004-08-05 | Lost | |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2004-08-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2004-02-24 | Lost | |
| 998 | 907 | 63% | 2003-05-18 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1344 | 12% | 2002-05-29 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2001-10-07 | Lost | |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2000-10-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2000-10-17 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 1999-04-02 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 1998-11-21 | Lost | |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-08-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 1998-06-06 | Won | |
| 1066 | 992 | 60% | 1995-11-07 | Won | |
| 1100 | 1102 | 50% | 1995-09-12 | Lost | |
| 1139 | 1015 | 67% | 1993-07-15 | Lost |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1029.2 vs 1032.3 has a 49.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).