Trapped!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (18 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 987 | 49% | 2021-06-02 | | Won |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2020-11-13 | | Lost |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2020-11-13 | | Lost |
| 803 | 1133 | 13% | 2020-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 957 | 73% | 2020-09-13 | | Won |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2018-05-09 | | Won |
| 981 | 1010 | 46% | 2018-04-02 | | Won |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2013-12-23 | | Won |
| 1134 | 918 | 78% | 2013-09-05 | | Won |
| 1155 | 1080 | 61% | 2012-12-15 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2009-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1134 | 64% | 2007-01-12 | | Won |
| 1078 | 981 | 64% | 2006-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 2004-10-01 | | Won |
| 790 | 1141 | 12% | 2003-06-03 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2000-11-03 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 1994-04-12 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1026.6 vs 1019.9 has a 50.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).