Trapped!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (18 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 987 | 50% | 2021-06-02 | Won |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 808 | 1066 | 18% | 2020-09-20 | Lost |
| 1066 | 966 | 64% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 933 | 1010 | 39% | 2018-04-02 | Won |
| 951 | 958 | 49% | 2013-12-23 | Won |
| 1059 | 934 | 67% | 2013-09-05 | Won |
| 1155 | 1080 | 61% | 2012-12-15 | Won |
| 1043 | 1082 | 44% | 2012-02-04 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1077 | 43% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1132 | 64% | 2007-01-12 | Won |
| 960 | 1113 | 29% | 2006-06-02 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1077 | 53% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2003-06-03 | Lost |
| 959 | 1039 | 39% | 2000-11-03 | Won |
| 1066 | 881 | 74% | 1994-04-12 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1005.2 vs 1030.8 has a 46.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).