Trapped!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (18 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 987 | 53% | 2021-06-02 | Won |
| 1012 | 939 | 60% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 1012 | 939 | 60% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 824 | 1177 | 12% | 2020-09-20 | Lost |
| 1177 | 980 | 76% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 967 | 1010 | 44% | 2018-04-02 | Won |
| 951 | 958 | 49% | 2013-12-23 | Won |
| 1102 | 918 | 74% | 2013-09-05 | Won |
| 1154 | 1081 | 60% | 2012-12-15 | Won |
| 1042 | 1082 | 44% | 2012-02-04 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1054 | 46% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2007-01-12 | Won |
| 1009 | 1057 | 43% | 2006-06-02 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1076 | 53% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2003-06-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1039 | 52% | 2000-11-03 | Won |
| 1177 | 881 | 85% | 1994-04-12 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1034.7 vs 1024.8 has a 51.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).