Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 265 (40 on the archive and 228 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 144
Defender wins (American): 120
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 3
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2026-05-29 | | Won |
| 1167 | 903 | 82% | 2026-04-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2023-12-11 | D | Won |
| 1125 | 808 | 86% | 2023-11-27 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1001 | 55% | 2023-11-03 | D | Won |
| 1170 | 1120 | 57% | 2023-03-30 | | Won |
| 1200 | 1000 | 76% | 2022-08-15 | | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2020-12-10 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2020-12-10 | | Won |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2020-06-24 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 938 | 75% | 2019-12-20 | | Won |
| 1180 | 950 | 79% | 2017-08-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2017-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1001 | 55% | 2016-11-15 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1241 | 23% | 2016-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2016-01-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2015-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2014-07-02 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1075 | 61% | 2013-09-19 | D | Won |
| 841 | 908 | 40% | 2013-01-31 | | Won |
| 951 | 891 | 59% | 2012-12-02 | | Won |
| 951 | 862 | 63% | 2012-12-02 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-03-15 | | Won |
| 896 | 1000 | 35% | 2011-12-29 | | Won |
| 1156 | 996 | 72% | 2010-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2009-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2009-06-06 | | Won |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2008-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 945 | 58% | 2007-04-10 | | Won |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2006-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-10-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2001-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 1998-10-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 1998-08-14 | | Lost |
| 919 | 1344 | 8% | 1998-07-06 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 1998-07-05 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 1994-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 1992-02-05 | | Won |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1029.9 vs 1006.9 has a 53.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).