Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (American): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 3
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1022 | 44% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1184 | 824 | 89% | 2023-11-27 | Won |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1133 | 1123 | 51% | 2023-03-30 | Won |
| 1172 | 1129 | 56% | 2022-08-15 | Lost |
| 1012 | 939 | 60% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1012 | 939 | 60% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 993 | 916 | 61% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1009 | 980 | 54% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
| 1184 | 935 | 81% | 2019-12-20 | Won |
| 1170 | 967 | 76% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 991 | 1125 | 32% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 1027 | 1170 | 31% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
| 984 | 977 | 51% | 2016-01-08 | Won |
| 991 | 980 | 52% | 2015-02-19 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2014-07-02 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1102 | 57% | 2013-09-19 | Won |
| 879 | 908 | 46% | 2013-01-31 | Won |
| 951 | 891 | 59% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 951 | 861 | 63% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 1042 | 1082 | 44% | 2012-03-15 | Won |
| 919 | 976 | 42% | 2011-12-29 | Won |
| 1054 | 996 | 58% | 2010-06-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 988 | 65% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1250 | 997 | 81% | 2009-06-06 | Won |
| 920 | 991 | 40% | 2008-09-16 | Lost |
| 991 | 948 | 56% | 2007-04-10 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-10-05 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1068 | 50% | 2001-10-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1159 | 27% | 2001-03-11 | Lost |
| 1068 | 929 | 69% | 1998-10-08 | Won |
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 1998-08-14 | Lost |
| 1068 | 929 | 69% | 1998-07-05 | Tied |
| 1110 | 1184 | 40% | 1994-08-01 | Won |
| 984 | 977 | 51% | 1992-02-05 | Won |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1039.5 vs 1003.7 has a 55.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).