Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 252 (29 on the archive and 223 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 136
Defender wins (American): 114
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
981 | 981 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
1156 | 1127 | 54% | 2022-08-15 | Lost |
964 | 975 | 48% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
983 | 916 | 60% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
1009 | 979 | 54% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
1058 | 1013 | 56% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
971 | 1144 | 27% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
1013 | 1327 | 14% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 2016-01-08 | Won |
971 | 1041 | 40% | 2015-02-19 | Lost |
1087 | 1183 | 37% | 2014-07-02 | Lost |
1184 | 1109 | 61% | 2013-09-19 | Won |
890 | 917 | 46% | 2013-01-31 | Won |
952 | 861 | 63% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
952 | 887 | 59% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
1040 | 1055 | 48% | 2012-03-15 | Won |
1115 | 976 | 69% | 2011-12-29 | Won |
987 | 996 | 49% | 2010-06-05 | Lost |
1008 | 989 | 53% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
1273 | 997 | 83% | 2009-06-06 | Won |
919 | 971 | 43% | 2008-09-16 | Lost |
971 | 924 | 57% | 2007-04-10 | Won |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-10-05 | Lost |
925 | 971 | 43% | 2004-06-16 | Won |
1083 | 1053 | 54% | 2001-10-01 | Won |
980 | 1142 | 28% | 2001-03-11 | Lost |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 1992-02-05 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1009.3 vs 1016.3 has a 49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).