The Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 824 | 88% | 2024-01-21 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1030 | 63% | 2023-03-31 | Lost |
| 981 | 959 | 53% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 981 | 959 | 53% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1045 | 68% | 2019-08-30 | Won |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
| 1016 | 985 | 54% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 942 | 972 | 46% | 2018-04-04 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1098 | 51% | 2016-11-08 | Won |
| 975 | 984 | 49% | 2016-02-05 | Lost |
| 1064 | 958 | 65% | 2015-10-01 | Won |
| 1038 | 1022 | 52% | 2015-01-22 | Lost |
| 1064 | 958 | 65% | 2014-10-15 | Won |
| 1102 | 844 | 82% | 2013-09-24 | Won |
| 951 | 974 | 47% | 2013-04-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1082 | 44% | 2012-01-24 | Won |
| 991 | 1016 | 46% | 2008-05-01 | Lost |
| 911 | 1177 | 18% | 1993-04-20 | Won |
| 975 | 984 | 49% | 1992-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 997.3 has a 55.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).