The Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (20 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (American): 50
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 808 | 87% | 2024-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1030 | 63% | 2023-03-31 | | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2020-12-20 | | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2020-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1241 | 1156 | 62% | 2019-08-30 | | Won |
| 1024 | 1014 | 51% | 2018-12-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2018-08-25 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2018-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1147 | 44% | 2016-11-08 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2016-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2015-10-01 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1033 | 51% | 2015-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-10-15 | | Won |
| 1075 | 829 | 80% | 2013-09-24 | A | Won |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2013-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2012-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-01-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2008-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 1993-04-20 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 1992-02-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1037.7 vs 1005.3 has a 54.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).