The Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (17 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (American): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
964 | 975 | 48% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
1317 | 968 | 88% | 2019-08-30 | Won |
988 | 1031 | 44% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
1014 | 1013 | 50% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
926 | 973 | 43% | 2018-04-04 | Lost |
1115 | 1008 | 65% | 2016-11-08 | Won |
1006 | 990 | 52% | 2016-02-05 | Lost |
1057 | 955 | 64% | 2015-10-01 | Won |
1036 | 1016 | 53% | 2015-01-22 | Lost |
1057 | 955 | 64% | 2014-10-15 | Won |
1104 | 858 | 80% | 2013-09-24 | Won |
952 | 974 | 47% | 2013-04-09 | Lost |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
1040 | 1055 | 48% | 2012-01-24 | Won |
968 | 1015 | 43% | 2008-05-01 | Lost |
968 | 916 | 57% | 2004-06-16 | Lost |
1006 | 990 | 52% | 1992-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1037.8 vs 989.2 has a 56.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).