The Globus Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 5
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1130 | 1102 | 54% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 956 | 909 | 57% | 2018-02-19 | Lost |
| 987 | 909 | 61% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 1096 | 942 | 71% | 2014-11-25 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-06-07 | Lost |
| 984 | 1048 | 41% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 951 | 890 | 59% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 951 | 861 | 63% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1037 | 1030 | 51% | 2012-09-17 | Tied |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1060 | 44% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 920 | 58% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
| 1018 | 950 | 60% | 2008-07-30 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1010 | 54% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 827 | 844 | 48% | 2001-03-03 | Lost |
| 863 | 1036 | 27% | 1999-10-01 | Lost |
| 1012 | 946 | 59% | 1998-08-14 | Lost |
| 881 | 1162 | 17% | 1993-04-02 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1002.5 vs 999.9 has a 50.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).