The Globus Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 5
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1112 | 1099 | 52% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 956 | 951 | 51% | 2018-02-19 | Lost |
| 987 | 951 | 55% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 1096 | 942 | 71% | 2014-11-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-06-07 | Lost |
| 984 | 1061 | 39% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 951 | 890 | 59% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 951 | 861 | 63% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1035 | 1030 | 51% | 2012-09-17 | Tied |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 741 | 1065 | 13% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 937 | 60% | 2008-07-30 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1010 | 54% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
| 1145 | 741 | 91% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 827 | 844 | 48% | 2001-03-03 | Lost |
| 863 | 1028 | 28% | 1999-10-01 | Lost |
| 1012 | 949 | 59% | 1998-08-14 | Lost |
| 881 | 1156 | 17% | 1993-04-02 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 984.2 vs 993.1 has a 48.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).