The Globus Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 5
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1048 | 41% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1082 | 1070 | 52% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1010 | 1034 | 47% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 956 | 913 | 56% | 2018-02-19 | Lost |
| 987 | 913 | 60% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 1093 | 944 | 70% | 2014-11-25 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-06-07 | Lost |
| 985 | 1164 | 26% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 951 | 889 | 59% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 951 | 861 | 63% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1038 | 1030 | 51% | 2012-09-17 | Tied |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1039 | 53% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 918 | 58% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
| 1018 | 999 | 53% | 2008-07-30 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1010 | 54% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1061 | 70% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 829 | 847 | 47% | 2001-03-03 | Lost |
| 863 | 1029 | 28% | 1999-10-01 | Lost |
| 1012 | 954 | 58% | 1998-08-14 | Lost |
| 881 | 1204 | 13% | 1993-04-02 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1001.1 vs 1011.6 has a 48.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).