Blazin' Chariots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (63 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 38
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2024-11-18 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1040 | 1025 | 52% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 908 | 908 | 50% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 892 | 873 | 53% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1057 | 1082 | 46% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 909 | 987 | 39% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2020-12-02 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2018-12-19 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1124 | 909 | 78% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 909 | 956 | 43% | 2017-12-27 | Won |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2017-10-30 | Won |
| 967 | 986 | 47% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1028 | 60% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1068 | 80% | 2016-09-19 | Lost |
| 1023 | 964 | 58% | 2016-08-08 | Won |
| 1039 | 978 | 59% | 2016-01-21 | Lost |
| 978 | 1039 | 41% | 2016-01-18 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1064 | 50% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 886 | 998 | 34% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 1096 | 943 | 71% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2013-11-26 | Lost |
| 1125 | 978 | 70% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 1039 | 1039 | 50% | 2013-01-31 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1039 | 50% | 2013-01-10 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2012-09-08 | Won |
| 1112 | 1020 | 63% | 2011-11-18 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1057 | 47% | 2011-07-17 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1039 | 53% | 2011-05-13 | Lost |
| 1010 | 946 | 59% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1081 | 59% | 2010-06-18 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1121 | 38% | 2010-03-22 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1121 | 38% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1039 | 56% | 2009-06-06 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1084 | 44% | 2009-06-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1039 | 56% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 1010 | 975 | 55% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 975 | 55% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 950 | 1039 | 37% | 2008-01-16 | Lost |
| 1039 | 950 | 63% | 2008-01-04 | Won |
| 1039 | 1036 | 50% | 2006-05-06 | Won |
| 1036 | 1039 | 50% | 2006-04-28 | Lost |
| 914 | 1039 | 33% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2006-04-22 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2005-12-05 | Won |
| 1023 | 1046 | 47% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1066 | 46% | 2004-12-08 | Won |
| 1066 | 1039 | 54% | 2004-07-12 | Lost |
| 1115 | 987 | 68% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
| 1070 | 1039 | 54% | 2000-07-03 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1070 | 46% | 2000-06-23 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1058 | 60% | 1999-08-08 | Won |
| 966 | 1062 | 37% | 1998-05-29 | Won |
| 1037 | 872 | 72% | 1997-11-19 | Lost |
| 1213 | 919 | 84% | 1993-04-02 | Won |
| 1074 | 942 | 68% | 1991-02-02 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1037.1 vs 1012.5 has a 53.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).