Blazin' Chariots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (62 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 38
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2024-11-18 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1070 | 1027 | 56% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 913 | 926 | 48% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 895 | 895 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1056 | 1029 | 54% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 988 | 987 | 50% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2018-12-19 | Won |
| 1002 | 1060 | 42% | 2018-12-04 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1223 | 988 | 79% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 988 | 956 | 55% | 2017-12-27 | Won |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2017-10-30 | Won |
| 943 | 1065 | 33% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1051 | 74% | 2016-09-19 | Lost |
| 1023 | 964 | 58% | 2016-08-08 | Won |
| 1060 | 928 | 68% | 2016-01-21 | Lost |
| 928 | 1060 | 32% | 2016-01-18 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1065 | 51% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 887 | 884 | 50% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 1108 | 943 | 72% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2013-11-26 | Lost |
| 1126 | 978 | 70% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2013-01-31 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2013-01-10 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2012-09-08 | Won |
| 1112 | 1019 | 63% | 2011-11-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1017 | 56% | 2011-07-17 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1060 | 44% | 2011-05-13 | Lost |
| 753 | 948 | 25% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1083 | 65% | 2010-06-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1121 | 41% | 2010-03-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1121 | 41% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1060 | 54% | 2009-06-06 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1085 | 46% | 2009-06-06 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1060 | 54% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 753 | 973 | 22% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 753 | 973 | 22% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 950 | 1060 | 35% | 2008-01-16 | Lost |
| 1060 | 950 | 65% | 2008-01-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 1037 | 53% | 2006-05-06 | Won |
| 1037 | 1060 | 47% | 2006-04-28 | Lost |
| 925 | 1060 | 31% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1051 | 1060 | 49% | 2006-04-22 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1118 | 46% | 2005-12-05 | Won |
| 1023 | 1046 | 47% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2004-12-08 | Won |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2004-07-12 | Lost |
| 1160 | 986 | 73% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
| 1070 | 1060 | 51% | 2000-07-03 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 2000-06-23 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1023 | 62% | 1999-08-08 | Won |
| 966 | 975 | 49% | 1998-05-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 873 | 70% | 1997-11-19 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1129 | 57% | 1993-04-02 | Won |
| 983 | 941 | 56% | 1991-02-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (32 wins) average ELOs: 1025.5 vs 1018.5 has a 51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).