Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 175 (23 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 88
Defender wins (British): 86
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1211 | 31% | 2023-05-11 | Lost |
| 987 | 950 | 55% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
| 1151 | 974 | 73% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
| 1055 | 975 | 61% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1151 | 1029 | 67% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 964 | 1114 | 30% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 964 | 1114 | 30% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1220 | 51% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2017-12-15 | Tied |
| 755 | 1015 | 18% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 890 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 985 | 948 | 55% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 1067 | 53% | 2015-05-25 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
| 1174 | 1151 | 53% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2013-09-10 | Won |
| 1051 | 1099 | 43% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 1067 | 1068 | 50% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 994 | 963 | 54% | 2010-01-30 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1274 | 30% | 2008-02-11 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1177 | 42% | 1995-06-22 | Won |
| 1037 | 1068 | 46% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1042 vs 1056.6 has a 47.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).