Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (British): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1051 | 1107 | 42% | 2023-05-11 | Lost |
987 | 909 | 61% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
878 | 1110 | 21% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
1151 | 973 | 74% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
964 | 1020 | 42% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
1151 | 1052 | 64% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
898 | 1181 | 16% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
898 | 1181 | 16% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
1167 | 1220 | 42% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2017-12-15 | Tied |
738 | 1016 | 17% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
1011 | 890 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
764 | 946 | 26% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
1091 | 1067 | 53% | 2015-05-25 | Won |
976 | 976 | 50% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
1115 | 1151 | 45% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
1086 | 998 | 62% | 2013-09-10 | Won |
1069 | 1060 | 51% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
1067 | 1050 | 52% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
1009 | 963 | 57% | 2010-01-30 | Lost |
1125 | 1329 | 24% | 2008-02-11 | Lost |
1158 | 764 | 91% | 2004-12-19 | Won |
1118 | 1189 | 40% | 1995-06-22 | Won |
1036 | 1068 | 45% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1021.6 vs 1052.2 has a 45.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).