Into the Fray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
| 910 | 964 | 42% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1020 | 48% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 960 | 55% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 1176 | 948 | 79% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1016 | 82% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 942 | 998 | 42% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 942 | 1096 | 29% | 2013-07-20 | Won |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1156 | 39% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 946 | 1277 | 13% | 2005-11-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1097 | 42% | 1998-12-07 | Won |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 1998-05-22 | Won |
| 1036 | 1137 | 36% | 1997-09-01 | Lost |
| 911 | 1186 | 17% | 1993-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1021.8 vs 1057.9 has a 44.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).