Into the Fray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 151 (13 on the archive and 138 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 68
Defender wins (Polish): 83
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
978 | 987 | 49% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
1209 | 991 | 78% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
984 | 1041 | 42% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
942 | 977 | 45% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
944 | 1115 | 27% | 2013-07-20 | Won |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
1080 | 1197 | 34% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
924 | 984 | 41% | 2005-11-16 | Lost |
1037 | 1097 | 41% | 1998-12-07 | Won |
1087 | 1005 | 62% | 1998-05-22 | Won |
1063 | 955 | 65% | 1997-09-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1021.8 vs 1033.1 has a 48.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).