Into the Fray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 160 (19 on the archive and 141 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (Polish): 90
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2025-10-06 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
| 952 | 1002 | 43% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1016 | 54% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 969 | 53% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1023 | 54% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 991 | 965 | 54% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 942 | 928 | 52% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 942 | 1107 | 28% | 2013-07-20 | Won |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1200 | 34% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2005-11-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1097 | 42% | 1998-12-07 | Won |
| 1024 | 1005 | 53% | 1998-05-22 | Won |
| 1045 | 1154 | 35% | 1997-09-01 | Lost |
| 911 | 1177 | 18% | 1993-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1008.5 vs 1044.3 has a 44.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).