Into the Fray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1005 | 50% | 2025-10-06 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
| 911 | 1003 | 37% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 962 | 54% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1009 | 60% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 980 | 54% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 942 | 953 | 48% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 944 | 1109 | 28% | 2013-07-20 | Won |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1135 | 42% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 1009 | 41% | 2005-11-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1097 | 42% | 1998-12-07 | Won |
| 1029 | 1005 | 53% | 1998-05-22 | Won |
| 1010 | 1153 | 31% | 1997-09-01 | Lost |
| 911 | 1185 | 17% | 1993-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1002.3 vs 1044.2 has a 44.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).