The Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (16 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Norwegian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 850 | 868 | 47% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1175 | 1023 | 71% | 2024-12-24 | Lost |
| 933 | 1063 | 32% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 1052 | 942 | 65% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1147 | 994 | 71% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 884 | 963 | 39% | 2017-01-19 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1041 | 53% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1101 | 1094 | 51% | 2011-11-23 | Won |
| 1036 | 1094 | 42% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1134 | 979 | 71% | 2010-05-28 | Lost |
| 979 | 948 | 54% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1159 | 1118 | 56% | 2005-04-02 | Won |
| 1049 | 1175 | 33% | 1998-08-30 | Won |
| 1052 | 983 | 60% | 1991-03-08 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1042.7 vs 1019.4 has a 53.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).