The Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (16 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Norwegian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 869 | 68% | 2025-03-21 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-12-24 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1040 | 34% | 2021-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1089 | 54% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1026 | 994 | 55% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 960 | 67% | 2018-03-11 | | Lost |
| 920 | 961 | 44% | 2017-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-03-30 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2011-11-23 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2010-11-06 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2010-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2006-01-18 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1000 | 76% | 2005-04-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 1998-08-30 | | Won |
| 1119 | 1000 | 66% | 1991-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1006.4 has a 57.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).