The Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (16 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Norwegian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 850 | 868 | 47% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1076 | 1211 | 31% | 2024-12-24 | Lost |
| 925 | 1107 | 26% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 1045 | 42% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1090 | 994 | 63% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1008 | 54% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 956 | 961 | 49% | 2017-01-19 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1041 | 53% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2011-11-23 | Won |
| 1036 | 1094 | 42% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1146 | 1114 | 55% | 2010-05-28 | Lost |
| 1114 | 948 | 72% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1109 | 1118 | 49% | 2005-04-02 | Won |
| 1048 | 1076 | 46% | 1998-08-30 | Won |
| 986 | 984 | 50% | 1991-03-08 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 1047.3 has a 48.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).