The Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Norwegian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 850 | 868 | 47% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1184 | 1055 | 68% | 2024-12-24 | Lost |
| 934 | 1019 | 38% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 977 | 1054 | 39% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 994 | 56% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 882 | 977 | 37% | 2017-01-19 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1043 | 54% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1101 | 1094 | 51% | 2011-11-23 | Won |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1098 | 991 | 65% | 2010-05-28 | Lost |
| 991 | 948 | 56% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1159 | 1119 | 56% | 2005-04-02 | Won |
| 1045 | 1184 | 31% | 1998-08-30 | Won |
| 977 | 984 | 49% | 1991-03-08 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1028.6 vs 1033.8 has a 49.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).