Revenge at Kastelli
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (16 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 47
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2020-07-18 | Won |
| 959 | 975 | 48% | 2018-09-09 | Won |
| 1158 | 1016 | 69% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1158 | 925 | 79% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1023 | 1021 | 50% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1219 | 1054 | 72% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1002 | 49% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 943 | 959 | 48% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Won |
| 919 | 952 | 45% | 2008-12-12 | Won |
| 866 | 1036 | 27% | 1998-05-20 | Won |
| 1248 | 1110 | 69% | 1995-01-14 | Won |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 1991-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1021.7 vs 1010.3 has a 51.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).