The Taking of Takrouna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 155 (17 on the archive and 138 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 64
Defender wins (Italian): 91
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 963 | 54% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
1168 | 1183 | 48% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
991 | 1045 | 42% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
924 | 984 | 41% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
1037 | 931 | 65% | 2016-11-11 | Lost |
1030 | 1175 | 30% | 2015-07-14 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
1307 | 1145 | 72% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
1115 | 944 | 73% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
977 | 1007 | 46% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
1001 | 1050 | 43% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
1037 | 1091 | 42% | 2010-05-01 | Won |
984 | 919 | 59% | 2008-08-27 | Lost |
1207 | 1030 | 73% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
1069 | 1055 | 52% | 2003-02-07 | Lost |
1087 | 1058 | 54% | 1991-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1031.8 has a 53.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).