The Taking of Takrouna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 159 (21 on the archive and 138 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 64
Defender wins (Italian): 95
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 905 | 947 | 44% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 967 | 986 | 47% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 1018 | 926 | 63% | 2016-11-11 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1110 | 38% | 2015-07-14 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1144 | 73% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 943 | 71% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1007 | 49% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1041 | 1092 | 43% | 2010-05-01 | Won |
| 1010 | 920 | 63% | 2008-08-27 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1028 | 65% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1056 | 52% | 2003-02-07 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1070 | 46% | 1999-06-14 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1039 | 54% | 1999-05-31 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1034 | 74% | 1998-05-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 984 | 58% | 1994-04-25 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1058 | 52% | 1991-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1046.4 vs 1022.1 has a 53.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).