Bridge to Nowhere
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 208 (28 on the archive and 180 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 119
Defender wins (Russian): 89
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1137 | 920 | 78% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1109 | 1086 | 53% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2019-05-14 | Won |
| 1056 | 903 | 71% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 1219 | 1210 | 51% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1257 | 1014 | 80% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
| 949 | 1257 | 15% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1029 | 61% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 919 | 1100 | 26% | 2014-11-30 | Won |
| 949 | 1026 | 39% | 2014-10-12 | Won |
| 1058 | 1145 | 38% | 2014-03-30 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-02-20 | Lost |
| 943 | 959 | 48% | 2012-08-16 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1122 | 40% | 2011-11-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1031 | 63% | 2010-11-15 | Lost |
| 949 | 1026 | 39% | 2010-04-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2008-11-06 | Lost |
| 1017 | 949 | 60% | 2007-12-29 | Won |
| 959 | 949 | 51% | 2007-07-02 | Won |
| 1098 | 988 | 65% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-02-14 | Won |
| 1098 | 613 | 94% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 929 | 58% | 2002-01-12 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 1999-03-03 | Lost |
| 1036 | 872 | 72% | 1997-08-12 | Lost |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 1994-02-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 1248 | 13% | 1993-09-10 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1029.9 has a 53.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).