Bridge to Nowhere
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 214 (33 on the archive and 181 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 123
Defender wins (Russian): 91
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1129 | 1029 | 64% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1195 | 1011 | 74% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2019-05-14 | Won |
| 1056 | 951 | 65% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 1090 | 1055 | 55% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1182 | 1030 | 71% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
| 1156 | 1182 | 46% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 999 | 59% | 2015-06-06 | Won |
| 1060 | 999 | 59% | 2015-04-05 | Won |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
| 917 | 1152 | 21% | 2014-11-30 | Won |
| 1156 | 1028 | 68% | 2014-10-12 | Won |
| 1146 | 1143 | 50% | 2014-03-30 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-02-20 | Lost |
| 948 | 999 | 43% | 2012-08-16 | Lost |
| 959 | 1141 | 26% | 2011-11-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1031 | 63% | 2010-11-15 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1028 | 68% | 2010-04-28 | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2008-11-06 | Lost |
| 950 | 1156 | 23% | 2007-12-29 | Won |
| 957 | 1156 | 24% | 2007-07-02 | Won |
| 1101 | 988 | 66% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-02-14 | Won |
| 1151 | 1156 | 49% | 2004-08-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 613 | 94% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1017 | 67% | 2003-11-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 929 | 58% | 2002-01-12 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 1999-03-03 | Lost |
| 1077 | 873 | 76% | 1997-08-12 | Lost |
| 952 | 984 | 45% | 1994-02-02 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1065 | 59% | 1993-09-10 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1071.8 vs 1043.2 has a 54.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).