The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (15 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (Italian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2021-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1143 | 44% | 2021-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1119 | 46% | 2020-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1119 | 34% | 2019-12-14 | | Won |
| 1086 | 956 | 68% | 2019-11-11 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1133 | 46% | 2019-11-02 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2008-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2007-05-21 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2004-08-02 | | Won |
| 1344 | 1009 | 87% | 2001-06-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1096 | 37% | 1998-01-08 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 1995-01-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1095.1 vs 1063.1 has a 54.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).