The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (12 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Italian): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 856 | 83% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1219 | 33% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1121 | 49% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1005 | 1039 | 45% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 1058 | 55% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
| 1029 | 1106 | 39% | 2015-10-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1259 | 21% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1097 | 44% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1110 | 69% | 1995-01-21 | Won |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1081.9 vs 1078.8 has a 50.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).