Shoestring Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (16 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1036 | 59% | 2015-12-22 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1038 | 51% | 2015-02-21 | Lost |
| 843 | 1071 | 21% | 2014-12-12 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2014-10-28 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1169 | 51% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1120 | 42% | 2013-09-14 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1119 | 48% | 2011-06-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2010-04-23 | Won |
| 1049 | 1237 | 25% | 2006-11-26 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2006-11-09 | Won |
| 833 | 1176 | 12% | 2003-07-11 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1161 | 52% | 2002-05-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1042 | 60% | 2000-01-16 | Won |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 1999-07-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1061.1 vs 1086.9 has a 46.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).