The Eastern Gate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (11 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 51
Defender wins (Gurkha): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1051 | 56% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1051 | 949 | 64% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
| 1072 | 1215 | 31% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1120 | 47% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1120 | 47% | 2011-12-20 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1115 | 56% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1011 | 1109 | 36% | 2010-08-24 | Won |
| 994 | 1157 | 28% | 2006-12-26 | Won |
| 919 | 1213 | 16% | 1993-09-17 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.4 vs 1103.2 has a 43.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).