The Eastern Gate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (13 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 52
Defender wins (Gurkha): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1211 | 1073 | 69% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 962 | 61% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
| 1073 | 1216 | 31% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1120 | 48% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1120 | 48% | 2011-12-20 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1127 | 58% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1015 | 1106 | 37% | 2010-08-24 | Won |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2006-12-26 | Won |
| 1070 | 1071 | 50% | 2006-12-11 | Won |
| 1342 | 1022 | 86% | 2001-06-28 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1113 | 52% | 1993-09-17 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1117.7 vs 1092.5 has a 53.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).