The Eastern Gate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (14 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 54
Defender wins (Gurkha): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1000 | 59% | 2026-10-07 | | Won |
| 1211 | 1073 | 69% | 2022-05-29 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-05-09 | | Won |
| 1084 | 957 | 68% | 2020-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 962 | 61% | 2018-11-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2017-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2012-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2011-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2011-04-28 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-08-24 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1150 | 35% | 2006-12-26 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2006-12-11 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1009 | 87% | 2001-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1993-09-17 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1081.5 vs 1050.9 has a 54.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).