Strangers in a Strange Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 317 (60 on the archive and 257 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 169
Defender wins (German): 147
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2026-01-24 | Won |
| 1024 | 1008 | 52% | 2025-09-21 | Lost |
| 904 | 913 | 49% | 2024-11-17 | Lost |
| 896 | 892 | 51% | 2024-04-21 | Won |
| 941 | 991 | 43% | 2022-08-31 | Won |
| 980 | 1229 | 19% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
| 799 | 904 | 35% | 2020-10-05 | Won |
| 1066 | 1099 | 45% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
| 903 | 1102 | 24% | 2020-08-12 | Won |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2020-08-03 | Tied |
| 1030 | 1087 | 42% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1013 | 980 | 55% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1105 | 56% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1118 | 1072 | 57% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1118 | 980 | 69% | 2020-03-05 | Won |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1157 | 1253 | 37% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2017-11-23 | Won |
| 897 | 919 | 47% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
| 1065 | 1038 | 54% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 958 | 1026 | 40% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 1026 | 958 | 60% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1217 | 33% | 2016-12-07 | Lost |
| 945 | 1256 | 14% | 2015-11-16 | Won |
| 1117 | 985 | 68% | 2015-06-14 | Won |
| 959 | 1243 | 16% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 998 | 56% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 1064 | 1160 | 37% | 2014-06-01 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1026 | 47% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 1003 | 1026 | 47% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 945 | 1186 | 20% | 2012-10-07 | Won |
| 981 | 996 | 48% | 2012-09-23 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-10 | Lost |
| 1220 | 958 | 82% | 2012-08-04 | Won |
| 1107 | 1069 | 55% | 2011-10-09 | Won |
| 950 | 1003 | 42% | 2010-01-21 | Lost |
| 1117 | 980 | 69% | 2009-11-27 | Won |
| 967 | 1117 | 30% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 988 | 980 | 51% | 2009-02-26 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1228 | 28% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2008-01-21 | Won |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2006-02-10 | Lost |
| 927 | 994 | 40% | 2004-09-19 | Won |
| 1119 | 1024 | 63% | 2004-09-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2004-07-25 | Won |
| 1068 | 1051 | 52% | 2003-03-15 | Won |
| 1041 | 1046 | 49% | 2002-10-13 | Won |
| 983 | 827 | 71% | 2002-06-01 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1027 | 72% | 2001-05-06 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1173 | 45% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 985 | 1068 | 38% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1083 | 44% | 2000-08-26 | Won |
| 976 | 948 | 54% | 1999-12-27 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1219 | 59% | 1999-07-18 | Won |
| 910 | 1065 | 29% | 1999-01-23 | Lost |
| 1173 | 866 | 85% | 1995-11-08 | Won |
| 1204 | 919 | 84% | 1993-10-01 | Won |
| 1024 | 953 | 60% | 1993-08-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (33 wins) average ELOs: 1033.5 vs 1038.9 has a 49.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).