Strangers in a Strange Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 315 (58 on the archive and 257 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 167
Defender wins (German): 147
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1068 | 52% | 2025-09-21 | Lost |
| 913 | 913 | 50% | 2024-11-17 | Lost |
| 875 | 892 | 48% | 2024-04-21 | Won |
| 940 | 991 | 43% | 2022-08-31 | Won |
| 953 | 1206 | 19% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
| 800 | 927 | 32% | 2020-10-05 | Won |
| 1075 | 1102 | 46% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
| 912 | 1103 | 25% | 2020-08-12 | Won |
| 965 | 843 | 67% | 2020-08-03 | Tied |
| 1030 | 1035 | 49% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1028 | 953 | 61% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1084 | 61% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1113 | 1072 | 56% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1113 | 953 | 72% | 2020-03-05 | Won |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2017-11-23 | Won |
| 897 | 919 | 47% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
| 1047 | 1037 | 51% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 956 | 931 | 54% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 931 | 956 | 46% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1217 | 33% | 2016-12-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2015-11-16 | Won |
| 1078 | 969 | 65% | 2015-06-14 | Won |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 998 | 56% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 1063 | 1160 | 36% | 2014-06-01 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1026 | 47% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 1003 | 1026 | 47% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 953 | 1144 | 25% | 2012-10-07 | Won |
| 982 | 996 | 48% | 2012-09-23 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-10 | Lost |
| 1220 | 954 | 82% | 2012-08-04 | Won |
| 1109 | 1071 | 55% | 2011-10-09 | Won |
| 950 | 1003 | 42% | 2010-01-21 | Lost |
| 1078 | 953 | 67% | 2009-11-27 | Won |
| 967 | 1078 | 35% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 989 | 953 | 55% | 2009-02-26 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1228 | 28% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 1084 | 998 | 62% | 2008-01-21 | Won |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2006-02-10 | Lost |
| 927 | 994 | 40% | 2004-09-19 | Won |
| 1103 | 1029 | 60% | 2004-09-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2004-07-25 | Won |
| 1039 | 1013 | 54% | 2003-03-15 | Won |
| 1091 | 1046 | 56% | 2002-10-13 | Won |
| 983 | 827 | 71% | 2002-06-01 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1010 | 74% | 2001-05-06 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1174 | 44% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 985 | 1068 | 38% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1083 | 51% | 2000-08-26 | Won |
| 976 | 948 | 54% | 1999-12-27 | Lost |
| 896 | 1047 | 30% | 1999-01-23 | Lost |
| 1174 | 866 | 85% | 1995-11-08 | Won |
| 1196 | 919 | 83% | 1993-10-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 952 | 61% | 1993-08-07 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1030.8 vs 1032.6 has a 49.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).