End of the Ninth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (21 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (French): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 865 | 69% | 2024-01-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2021-12-06 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2021-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1014 | 51% | 2020-11-16 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1075 | 38% | 2020-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 962 | 61% | 2015-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2015-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-09-20 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2012-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-04-06 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2009-01-14 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2005-12-22 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2004-09-11 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2003-09-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2003-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1046 | 45% | 2003-07-27 | | Won |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 1996-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 1993-10-08 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 1993-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1028.4 has a 51.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).