End of the Ninth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (21 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (French): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 865 | 67% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 967 | 985 | 47% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 991 | 1235 | 20% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
| 904 | 799 | 65% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2020-02-06 | Lost |
| 1051 | 969 | 62% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2014-09-20 | Won |
| 1108 | 1070 | 55% | 2012-06-19 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1046 | 50% | 2011-04-06 | Won |
| 1228 | 1066 | 72% | 2009-01-14 | Won |
| 1068 | 1053 | 52% | 2005-12-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2004-09-11 | Won |
| 1159 | 1111 | 57% | 2003-09-06 | Won |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2003-08-02 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1046 | 54% | 2003-07-27 | Won |
| 1045 | 1116 | 40% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 919 | 1201 | 16% | 1993-10-08 | Won |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1019.5 vs 1051.7 has a 45.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).