Play Ball
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (19 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 44
Defender wins (American): 43
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1075 | 44% | 2020-03-06 | Lost |
| 1115 | 961 | 71% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1131 | 1144 | 48% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2018-10-30 | Lost |
| 956 | 951 | 51% | 2018-04-20 | Won |
| 1008 | 1142 | 32% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1144 | 949 | 75% | 2017-05-17 | Lost |
| 967 | 935 | 55% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1106 | 1091 | 52% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 1067 | 72% | 2010-02-11 | Won |
| 1099 | 1041 | 58% | 2009-11-07 | Tied |
| 1165 | 1144 | 53% | 2005-12-16 | Won |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2005-09-18 | Lost |
| 917 | 1028 | 35% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1056 | 53% | 2001-01-06 | Lost |
| 1156 | 910 | 80% | 1994-06-22 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1047.3 has a 51.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).