Play Ball
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (18 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 41
Defender wins (American): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 995 | 58% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 982 | 1105 | 33% | 2020-03-06 | Lost |
| 1072 | 961 | 65% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 981 | 1217 | 20% | 2018-10-30 | Lost |
| 958 | 1000 | 44% | 2018-04-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1186 | 29% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 948 | 55% | 2017-05-17 | Lost |
| 985 | 935 | 57% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1103 | 1092 | 52% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 1066 | 72% | 2010-02-11 | Won |
| 1099 | 1041 | 58% | 2009-11-07 | Tied |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2005-09-18 | Lost |
| 917 | 1027 | 35% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 974 | 69% | 2001-01-06 | Lost |
| 1204 | 910 | 84% | 1994-06-22 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1050.8 vs 1029.2 has a 53.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).