Play Ball
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (19 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 44
Defender wins (American): 43
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1084 | 40% | 2020-03-06 | Lost |
| 1072 | 961 | 65% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 973 | 70% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2018-10-30 | Lost |
| 956 | 958 | 50% | 2018-04-20 | Won |
| 1027 | 1137 | 35% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 973 | 948 | 54% | 2017-05-17 | Lost |
| 968 | 935 | 55% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1107 | 1091 | 52% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 1067 | 72% | 2010-02-11 | Won |
| 1099 | 1041 | 58% | 2009-11-07 | Tied |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2005-12-16 | Won |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2005-09-18 | Lost |
| 917 | 1003 | 38% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1056 | 53% | 2001-01-06 | Lost |
| 1186 | 910 | 83% | 1994-06-22 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.5 vs 1026.5 has a 53.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).