Play Ball
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (19 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 42
Defender wins (American): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
| 1097 | 955 | 69% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1085 | 68% | 2020-03-06 | Lost |
| 1042 | 961 | 61% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1131 | 1039 | 63% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2018-10-30 | Lost |
| 958 | 964 | 49% | 2018-04-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1188 | 29% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 948 | 63% | 2017-05-17 | Lost |
| 962 | 935 | 54% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 1092 | 51% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1233 | 943 | 84% | 2010-02-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 1036 | 58% | 2009-11-07 | Tied |
| 907 | 1009 | 36% | 2005-09-18 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1150 | 51% | 2004-01-04 | Lost |
| 918 | 1035 | 34% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 959 | 71% | 2001-01-06 | Lost |
| 1113 | 910 | 76% | 1994-06-22 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1070.1 vs 1023.3 has a 56.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).