Fighting Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (15 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 37
Defender wins (German): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-03-01 | | Won |
| 1102 | 904 | 76% | 2022-02-28 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2020-09-12 | | Won |
| 1216 | 1015 | 76% | 2020-08-09 | | Tied |
| 893 | 1218 | 13% | 2017-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1010 | 67% | 2015-06-28 | | Won |
| 940 | 987 | 43% | 2015-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1101 | 68% | 2014-02-25 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2014-02-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1141 | 40% | 2009-09-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2002-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2000-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1092 | 63% | 1998-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 946 | 75% | 1995-07-30 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1058.8 vs 1035.9 has a 53.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).