Fighting Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (12 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 34
Defender wins (German): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
924 | 984 | 41% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
1175 | 1032 | 69% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
1197 | 1026 | 73% | 2020-08-09 | Tied |
889 | 1284 | 9% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
977 | 1027 | 43% | 2015-06-19 | Lost |
1227 | 1092 | 69% | 2014-02-25 | Lost |
1041 | 984 | 58% | 2014-02-12 | Won |
995 | 1093 | 36% | 2010-02-15 | Lost |
1063 | 1034 | 54% | 2000-09-01 | Lost |
1062 | 1065 | 50% | 1999-11-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1049.8 has a 48.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).