Rescue Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (12 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Belgian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 864 | 75% | 2024-12-27 | Lost |
| 1139 | 826 | 86% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 949 | 902 | 57% | 2023-10-17 | Lost |
| 997 | 1038 | 44% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 967 | 1115 | 30% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 971 | 1020 | 43% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 953 | 1043 | 37% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-10-27 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1183 | 60% | 2014-09-16 | Won |
| 1196 | 1014 | 74% | 2007-10-26 | Won |
| 1007 | 1104 | 36% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1042 vs 1028.5 has a 51.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).