Rescue Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (13 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Belgian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 833 | 75% | 2024-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 803 | 87% | 2024-07-28 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-10-17 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1036 | 43% | 2021-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 986 | 62% | 2021-01-15 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1134 | 27% | 2019-05-20 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2017-05-28 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2017-05-06 | | Won |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2015-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1272 | 1134 | 69% | 2014-09-16 | | Won |
| 1211 | 1022 | 75% | 2007-10-26 | | Won |
| 978 | 1242 | 18% | 2001-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1034.9 vs 1038 has a 49.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).