Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (44 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 65
Defender wins (New Zealand): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 1251 | 12% | 2025-02-08 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1268 | 19% | 2025-01-22 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1011 | 56% | 2024-03-19 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 966 | 953 | 52% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 966 | 953 | 52% | 2023-12-21 | Won |
| 966 | 953 | 52% | 2023-12-08 | Lost |
| 975 | 967 | 51% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1136 | 965 | 73% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 909 | 956 | 43% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1025 | 747 | 83% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1124 | 953 | 73% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-02-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2021-02-10 | Won |
| 1034 | 1047 | 48% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1049 | 1005 | 56% | 2020-02-09 | Won |
| 1037 | 909 | 68% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 913 | 976 | 41% | 2020-01-09 | Lost |
| 926 | 887 | 56% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
| 968 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-03-04 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 973 | 909 | 59% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 1020 | 909 | 65% | 2017-06-04 | Won |
| 1020 | 1244 | 22% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 909 | 70% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 964 | 1018 | 42% | 2016-12-31 | Won |
| 764 | 1090 | 13% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1068 | 1074 | 49% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 988 | 926 | 59% | 2016-06-22 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2015-08-04 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1060 | 45% | 2013-08-05 | Won |
| 1060 | 1028 | 55% | 2013-08-05 | Won |
| 964 | 894 | 60% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-07-04 | Tied |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
| 962 | 1050 | 38% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 976 | 920 | 58% | 2011-05-02 | Lost |
| 1036 | 997 | 56% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1011 | 51% | 2009-10-13 | Won |
| 1189 | 1152 | 55% | 2002-11-16 | Won |
| 1111 | 827 | 84% | 2002-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1001.1 vs 996 has a 50.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).