Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (44 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 55
Defender wins (New Zealand): 55
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 1254 | 15% | 2025-02-08 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1282 | 18% | 2025-01-22 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1011 | 56% | 2024-03-19 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-05 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 971 | 955 | 52% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 971 | 955 | 52% | 2023-12-21 | Won |
| 971 | 955 | 52% | 2023-12-08 | Lost |
| 975 | 967 | 51% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1136 | 965 | 73% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 958 | 953 | 51% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 958 | 958 | 50% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1024 | 734 | 84% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1135 | 954 | 74% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 991 | 982 | 51% | 2021-02-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1065 | 41% | 2021-02-10 | Won |
| 1035 | 1048 | 48% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1049 | 1005 | 56% | 2020-02-09 | Won |
| 1036 | 958 | 61% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 914 | 976 | 41% | 2020-01-09 | Lost |
| 930 | 891 | 56% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
| 968 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-03-04 | Won |
| 1080 | 1044 | 55% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 973 | 958 | 52% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 1018 | 958 | 59% | 2017-06-04 | Won |
| 1041 | 1244 | 24% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 958 | 64% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 945 | 1008 | 41% | 2016-12-31 | Won |
| 945 | 1090 | 30% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1068 | 1075 | 49% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 988 | 927 | 59% | 2016-06-22 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2015-08-04 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1078 | 42% | 2013-08-05 | Won |
| 1078 | 1020 | 58% | 2013-08-05 | Won |
| 945 | 895 | 57% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-07-04 | Tied |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
| 961 | 1068 | 35% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2011-05-02 | Lost |
| 1003 | 996 | 51% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1011 | 51% | 2009-10-13 | Won |
| 1204 | 1151 | 58% | 2002-11-16 | Won |
| 1111 | 827 | 84% | 2002-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1011.2 vs 1000.2 has a 51.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).