A Desperate Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (18 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (British): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1024 | 66% | 2024-02-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2022-03-30 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1031 | 72% | 2021-04-26 | Won |
| 965 | 988 | 47% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 961 | 946 | 52% | 2020-07-30 | Lost |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 961 | 974 | 48% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1149 | 743 | 91% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1128 | 858 | 83% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 961 | 1090 | 32% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1074 | 49% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1146 | 32% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1060 | 55% | 2013-04-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1044 | 53% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
| 949 | 988 | 44% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1182 | 961 | 78% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1154 | 44% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1081 vs 1011.9 has a 59.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).