A Desperate Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (17 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1010 | 68% | 2024-02-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2022-03-30 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1035 | 69% | 2021-04-26 | Won |
| 1056 | 976 | 61% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 973 | 948 | 54% | 2020-07-30 | Lost |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 973 | 974 | 50% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1149 | 756 | 91% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1164 | 851 | 86% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 973 | 1090 | 34% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1056 | 1079 | 47% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1176 | 29% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1098 | 51% | 2013-04-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1094 | 46% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
| 952 | 984 | 45% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1169 | 52% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1087.6 vs 1021.9 has a 59.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).