Throwing Down the Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (8 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 14
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2024-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2023-01-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 953 | 57% | 2023-01-05 | | Won |
| 960 | 1082 | 33% | 2020-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-06-08 | | Lost |
| 850 | 1147 | 15% | 2017-04-08 | | Lost |
| 961 | 920 | 56% | 2017-01-29 | | Won |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 992.6 vs 1032.4 has a 44.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).