Throwing Down the Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 13
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2024-02-14 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1139 | 40% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
| 944 | 972 | 46% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1138 | 939 | 76% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 858 | 1153 | 15% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 980 | 927 | 58% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1028 | 1138 | 35% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1001.4 vs 1045.9 has a 43.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).