Throwing Down the Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 13
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1073 | 40% | 2024-02-14 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1218 | 30% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
| 944 | 967 | 47% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1037 | 1006 | 54% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1137 | 939 | 76% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 980 | 998 | 47% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1056 | 1136 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1009.3 vs 1061.8 has a 42.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).