Throwing Down the Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 11
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2024-02-14 | Lost |
944 | 931 | 52% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
1137 | 939 | 76% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
856 | 1198 | 12% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
956 | 959 | 50% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
1083 | 955 | 68% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1000.3 vs 1008.9 has a 48.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).