Point of the Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 31
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 1123 | 55% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 953 | 984 | 46% | 2025-02-07 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1011 | 50% | 2024-08-14 | Won |
| 860 | 952 | 37% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 1037 | 1035 | 50% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 1075 | 920 | 71% | 2022-06-12 | Won |
| 927 | 1010 | 38% | 2022-03-21 | Lost |
| 969 | 950 | 53% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1098 | 44% | 2022-03-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1041 | 44% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1023 | 873 | 70% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 844 | 966 | 33% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1031 | 49% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 930 | 1138 | 23% | 2020-08-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1160 | 1113 | 57% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 1109 | 42% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1082 | 1039 | 56% | 2020-03-24 | Won |
| 1073 | 1071 | 50% | 2019-08-03 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1138 | 56% | 2019-04-27 | Lost |
| 1332 | 1050 | 84% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
| 895 | 944 | 43% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 853 | 1164 | 14% | 2017-04-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 949 | 973 | 47% | 2016-01-30 | Won |
| 986 | 1087 | 36% | 2016-01-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1067 | 40% | 2015-07-14 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1035 | 50% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
| 1138 | 1043 | 63% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 1113 | 35% | 2014-06-15 | Won |
| 970 | 846 | 67% | 2014-04-28 | Won |
| 1035 | 987 | 57% | 2013-12-31 | Won |
| 1053 | 1138 | 38% | 2013-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1138 | 29% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 1113 | 974 | 69% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
| 969 | 1431 | 7% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 989 | 1006 | 48% | 2012-09-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1113 | 48% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 1029 | 52% | 2010-01-09 | Won |
| 1021 | 866 | 71% | 2009-07-12 | Won |
| 1073 | 948 | 67% | 2008-10-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 931 | 72% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
| 1148 | 881 | 82% | 2008-09-27 | Won |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-04-05 | Lost |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2006-11-04 | Won |
| 1068 | 1070 | 50% | 1999-04-12 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1068 | 50% | 1999-03-12 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1126 | 58% | 1996-07-31 | Won |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1036.1 vs 1040.3 has a 49.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).