Point of the Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 115 (55 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 68
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1145 | 53% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 962 | 974 | 48% | 2025-02-07 | Lost |
| 998 | 1027 | 46% | 2024-08-14 | Won |
| 885 | 1342 | 7% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 1040 | 1035 | 51% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 1077 | 909 | 72% | 2022-06-12 | Won |
| 907 | 987 | 39% | 2022-03-21 | Lost |
| 968 | 964 | 51% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 1151 | 28% | 2022-03-16 | Won |
| 991 | 1060 | 40% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1023 | 874 | 70% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1031 | 48% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 995 | 1083 | 38% | 2020-08-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1026 | 1143 | 34% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 1230 | 986 | 80% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1022 | 1107 | 38% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1007 | 1039 | 45% | 2020-03-24 | Won |
| 1052 | 1087 | 45% | 2019-08-03 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1083 | 64% | 2019-04-27 | Lost |
| 1335 | 992 | 88% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 1131 | 986 | 70% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
| 900 | 1023 | 33% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 851 | 1123 | 17% | 2017-04-15 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2016-01-30 | Won |
| 987 | 1088 | 36% | 2016-01-20 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1071 | 40% | 2015-07-14 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1038 | 49% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
| 1083 | 1077 | 51% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 986 | 53% | 2014-06-15 | Won |
| 970 | 850 | 67% | 2014-04-28 | Won |
| 1038 | 987 | 57% | 2013-12-31 | Won |
| 1053 | 1083 | 46% | 2013-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1138 | 29% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 986 | 975 | 52% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
| 969 | 1431 | 7% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 989 | 1006 | 48% | 2012-09-18 | Lost |
| 1129 | 986 | 69% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 1036 | 1027 | 51% | 2010-01-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 865 | 70% | 2009-07-12 | Won |
| 1052 | 948 | 65% | 2008-10-08 | Lost |
| 1151 | 920 | 79% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
| 1146 | 881 | 82% | 2008-09-27 | Won |
| 1132 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-04-05 | Lost |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2006-11-04 | Won |
| 1263 | 1257 | 51% | 2004-03-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 1999-04-12 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1060 | 51% | 1999-03-12 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1129 | 48% | 1996-07-31 | Won |
Attacking (33 wins) average ELOs: 1034.1 vs 1044.2 has a 48.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).