Point of the Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 31
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1156 | 50% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 949 | 988 | 44% | 2025-02-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 996 | 55% | 2024-08-14 | Won |
| 998 | 952 | 57% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 896 | 77% | 2022-06-12 | Won |
| 927 | 992 | 41% | 2022-03-21 | Lost |
| 969 | 909 | 59% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1100 | 45% | 2022-03-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1025 | 874 | 70% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 864 | 935 | 40% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1031 | 49% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2020-08-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 1096 | 43% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1082 | 1039 | 56% | 2020-03-24 | Won |
| 1118 | 1060 | 58% | 2019-08-03 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1193 | 48% | 2019-04-27 | Lost |
| 1336 | 986 | 88% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
| 912 | 967 | 42% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 858 | 1128 | 17% | 2017-04-15 | Lost |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 949 | 974 | 46% | 2016-01-30 | Won |
| 986 | 1107 | 33% | 2016-01-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1067 | 40% | 2015-07-14 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1037 | 53% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
| 1193 | 1043 | 70% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2014-06-15 | Won |
| 970 | 846 | 67% | 2014-04-28 | Won |
| 1037 | 989 | 57% | 2013-12-31 | Won |
| 1053 | 1193 | 31% | 2013-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1138 | 29% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 1010 | 974 | 55% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
| 969 | 1431 | 7% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 989 | 1006 | 48% | 2012-09-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1010 | 57% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2010-01-09 | Won |
| 1011 | 866 | 70% | 2009-07-12 | Won |
| 1118 | 988 | 68% | 2008-10-08 | Lost |
| 1100 | 930 | 73% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
| 1147 | 882 | 82% | 2008-09-27 | Won |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-04-05 | Lost |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2006-11-04 | Won |
| 1079 | 1070 | 51% | 1999-04-12 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1079 | 49% | 1999-03-12 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1127 | 65% | 1996-07-31 | Won |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1042.6 vs 1036.1 has a 50.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).