Going To Church
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130
Attacker wins (Canadian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 84
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 969 | 910 | 58% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 925 | 910 | 52% | 2024-12-20 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1204 | 51% | 2024-08-01 | Lost |
| 1032 | 959 | 60% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-12-07 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-05 | Lost |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2023-03-31 | Lost |
| 967 | 1001 | 45% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 941 | 970 | 46% | 2022-12-31 | Won |
| 1004 | 1044 | 44% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 954 | 1431 | 6% | 2022-10-09 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1163 | 48% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 896 | 1102 | 23% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 925 | 1018 | 37% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2022-01-30 | Lost |
| 1086 | 961 | 67% | 2021-12-18 | Lost |
| 1174 | 932 | 80% | 2021-12-17 | Won |
| 932 | 1174 | 20% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 764 | 78% | 2021-11-04 | Lost |
| 975 | 1035 | 41% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-10-16 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1106 | 53% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1242 | 1020 | 78% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 959 | 1019 | 41% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 966 | 764 | 76% | 2020-12-31 | Lost |
| 1110 | 973 | 69% | 2020-09-07 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
| 909 | 1065 | 29% | 2020-06-24 | Lost |
| 738 | 1025 | 16% | 2020-06-24 | Lost |
| 995 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 998 | 1012 | 48% | 2020-04-09 | Lost |
| 916 | 1152 | 20% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 864 | 935 | 40% | 2020-02-23 | Lost |
| 1181 | 982 | 76% | 2019-12-18 | Won |
| 1181 | 1096 | 62% | 2019-11-06 | Won |
| 1001 | 990 | 52% | 2019-06-27 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2019-03-30 | Won |
| 1074 | 925 | 70% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1176 | 1124 | 57% | 2018-11-26 | Lost |
| 917 | 987 | 40% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1219 | 23% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 929 | 870 | 58% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1074 | 54% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 909 | 932 | 47% | 2018-08-05 | Lost |
| 976 | 1158 | 26% | 2018-03-05 | Lost |
| 976 | 1158 | 26% | 2018-02-13 | Lost |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2017-11-06 | Won |
| 1013 | 1181 | 28% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 857 | 1127 | 17% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2017-03-06 | Lost |
| 970 | 904 | 59% | 2017-03-06 | Lost |
| 1100 | 953 | 70% | 2016-12-15 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2016-12-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 1052 | 36% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 873 | 964 | 37% | 2016-08-14 | Lost |
| 1205 | 986 | 78% | 2016-05-23 | Lost |
| 971 | 764 | 77% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 976 | 1158 | 26% | 2016-04-04 | Lost |
| 1013 | 926 | 62% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 909 | 960 | 43% | 2016-02-13 | Won |
| 960 | 909 | 57% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1135 | 998 | 69% | 2016-01-10 | Won |
| 960 | 909 | 57% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2015-12-01 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-11-24 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-11-24 | Won |
| 917 | 1039 | 33% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 958 | 926 | 55% | 2015-09-26 | Lost |
| 1020 | 849 | 73% | 2015-09-20 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2015-06-19 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1031 | 65% | 2015-04-24 | Won |
| 979 | 984 | 49% | 2015-03-03 | Won |
| 1163 | 1115 | 57% | 2015-02-17 | Won |
| 1037 | 1046 | 49% | 2015-01-21 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1094 | 49% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 1163 | 999 | 72% | 2014-11-13 | Lost |
| 764 | 1016 | 19% | 2014-03-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 1040 | 45% | 2014-01-27 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1009 | 54% | 2013-12-30 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1181 | 34% | 2013-12-29 | Lost |
| 947 | 1038 | 37% | 2013-12-03 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1053 | 68% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1071 | 55% | 2013-06-02 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
| 1037 | 1019 | 53% | 2013-04-24 | Lost |
| 953 | 987 | 45% | 2013-03-04 | Lost |
| 1049 | 963 | 62% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2012-12-17 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-09-20 | Won |
| 1006 | 989 | 52% | 2012-09-13 | Lost |
| 998 | 881 | 66% | 2012-09-02 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1067 | 62% | 2012-06-17 | Lost |
| 988 | 949 | 56% | 2012-06-12 | Won |
| 946 | 881 | 59% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
| 999 | 1016 | 48% | 2012-01-08 | Won |
| 987 | 1024 | 45% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-11-17 | Won |
| 871 | 1094 | 22% | 2011-10-24 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1026 | 69% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 974 | 999 | 46% | 2011-04-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 1029 | 969 | 59% | 2010-12-30 | Won |
| 764 | 1060 | 15% | 2010-11-26 | Lost |
| 1011 | 866 | 70% | 2010-02-21 | Won |
| 947 | 963 | 48% | 2009-10-20 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1052 | 44% | 2009-04-01 | Lost |
| 1329 | 992 | 87% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 979 | 1329 | 12% | 2008-05-16 | Won |
| 1184 | 1152 | 55% | 2007-06-30 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2006-11-18 | Won |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2006-10-24 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2006-10-14 | Lost |
| 832 | 943 | 35% | 2006-05-13 | Lost |
| 943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-04-26 | Won |
| 929 | 1034 | 35% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1086 | 43% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1035 | 1152 | 34% | 2004-10-08 | Lost |
| 1189 | 830 | 89% | 2001-11-21 | Won |
| 1189 | 1095 | 63% | 2000-03-20 | Lost |
| 1044 | 994 | 57% | 1998-07-04 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 1997-03-21 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | Won |
Attacking (45 wins) average ELOs: 1025.5 vs 1016 has a 51.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).