Going To Church
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 297 (112 on the archive and 185 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 149
Defender wins (German (SS)): 148
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
1004 | 959 | 56% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-12-07 | Won |
1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-04-05 | Lost |
879 | 858 | 53% | 2023-03-31 | Lost |
971 | 1002 | 46% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
942 | 1091 | 30% | 2022-12-31 | Won |
1004 | 1073 | 40% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
958 | 1427 | 6% | 2022-10-09 | Lost |
1150 | 1150 | 50% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
925 | 1018 | 37% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
1021 | 1020 | 50% | 2022-01-30 | Lost |
1040 | 981 | 58% | 2021-12-18 | Lost |
1159 | 942 | 78% | 2021-12-17 | Won |
942 | 1159 | 22% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
984 | 1016 | 45% | 2021-11-04 | Lost |
1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
1141 | 1150 | 49% | 2021-10-16 | Lost |
1334 | 1356 | 47% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
1001 | 1028 | 46% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
985 | 1016 | 46% | 2020-12-31 | Lost |
1175 | 1032 | 69% | 2020-09-07 | Lost |
1427 | 1427 | 50% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
1020 | 1025 | 49% | 2020-06-24 | Lost |
995 | 1012 | 48% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
983 | 998 | 48% | 2020-04-09 | Lost |
916 | 1131 | 22% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
892 | 901 | 49% | 2020-02-23 | Lost |
1180 | 1058 | 67% | 2019-12-18 | Won |
1180 | 1115 | 59% | 2019-11-06 | Won |
970 | 990 | 47% | 2019-06-27 | Lost |
969 | 1004 | 45% | 2019-03-30 | Won |
1055 | 927 | 68% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
918 | 1003 | 38% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
1007 | 1283 | 17% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
929 | 942 | 48% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
1100 | 1055 | 56% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
1020 | 932 | 62% | 2018-08-05 | Lost |
958 | 1158 | 24% | 2018-03-05 | Lost |
958 | 1158 | 24% | 2018-02-13 | Lost |
1159 | 1016 | 69% | 2017-11-06 | Won |
1013 | 1104 | 37% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
856 | 1191 | 13% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
949 | 906 | 56% | 2017-03-06 | Lost |
970 | 906 | 59% | 2017-03-06 | Lost |
982 | 1008 | 46% | 2016-12-04 | Lost |
957 | 1088 | 32% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
873 | 1019 | 30% | 2016-08-14 | Lost |
1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2016-05-23 | Lost |
919 | 1016 | 36% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
958 | 1158 | 24% | 2016-04-04 | Lost |
1014 | 931 | 62% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
1020 | 960 | 59% | 2016-02-13 | Won |
960 | 1020 | 41% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
1123 | 958 | 72% | 2016-01-10 | Won |
960 | 1020 | 41% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-12-01 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-11-24 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-11-24 | Won |
963 | 931 | 55% | 2015-09-26 | Lost |
963 | 852 | 65% | 2015-09-20 | Lost |
992 | 1026 | 45% | 2015-06-19 | Lost |
1137 | 1028 | 65% | 2015-04-24 | Won |
1019 | 985 | 55% | 2015-03-03 | Won |
1095 | 1111 | 48% | 2015-02-17 | Won |
988 | 973 | 52% | 2015-01-21 | Lost |
1087 | 1183 | 37% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
1095 | 999 | 63% | 2014-11-13 | Lost |
1016 | 1026 | 49% | 2014-03-02 | Won |
1007 | 1047 | 44% | 2014-01-27 | Lost |
1016 | 1009 | 51% | 2013-12-30 | Lost |
1071 | 1104 | 45% | 2013-12-29 | Lost |
947 | 1016 | 40% | 2013-12-03 | Lost |
1104 | 1055 | 57% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
1108 | 1071 | 55% | 2013-06-02 | Won |
1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
1035 | 1019 | 52% | 2013-04-24 | Lost |
953 | 1003 | 43% | 2013-03-04 | Lost |
1079 | 963 | 66% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
982 | 982 | 50% | 2012-12-17 | Lost |
1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-09-20 | Won |
1006 | 989 | 52% | 2012-09-13 | Lost |
998 | 924 | 60% | 2012-09-02 | Lost |
1143 | 1068 | 61% | 2012-06-17 | Lost |
946 | 924 | 53% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
999 | 1016 | 48% | 2012-01-08 | Won |
997 | 1023 | 46% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-11-17 | Won |
869 | 1094 | 21% | 2011-10-24 | Lost |
1095 | 1017 | 61% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
972 | 1008 | 45% | 2011-04-08 | Lost |
982 | 937 | 56% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
1043 | 974 | 60% | 2010-12-30 | Won |
1016 | 1007 | 51% | 2010-11-26 | Lost |
1093 | 865 | 79% | 2010-02-21 | Won |
997 | 963 | 55% | 2009-10-20 | Lost |
1012 | 1052 | 44% | 2009-04-01 | Lost |
1292 | 993 | 85% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
979 | 1292 | 14% | 2008-05-16 | Won |
1073 | 1107 | 45% | 2006-11-18 | Won |
936 | 1016 | 39% | 2006-10-24 | Lost |
1073 | 1072 | 50% | 2006-10-14 | Lost |
832 | 943 | 35% | 2006-05-13 | Lost |
945 | 832 | 66% | 2006-04-26 | Won |
928 | 1030 | 36% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
1030 | 1017 | 52% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (39 wins) average ELOs: 1023 vs 1033.5 has a 48.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).