Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 9
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1018 | 54% | 2023-09-29 | Won |
| 930 | 1234 | 15% | 2022-01-12 | Lost |
| 909 | 1030 | 33% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 998 | 1086 | 38% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 949 | 1005 | 42% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2019-11-18 | Won |
| 1012 | 846 | 72% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1016 | 1018 | 50% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1136 | 41% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 1187 | 922 | 82% | 2007-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1016.5 vs 1020.8 has a 49.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).