Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1193 | 18% | 2022-01-12 | Lost |
| 951 | 1030 | 39% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 927 | 1106 | 26% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1016 | 67% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2019-11-18 | Won |
| 1014 | 846 | 72% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1064 | 1018 | 57% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1136 | 41% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 1187 | 922 | 82% | 2007-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1020.3 vs 1025.8 has a 49.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).