Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (11 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 1125 | 24% | 2022-01-12 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-01-04 | | Won |
| 966 | 1103 | 31% | 2021-09-17 | | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2020-12-23 | | Won |
| 1001 | 1037 | 45% | 2020-11-20 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-05-05 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2019-11-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2017-12-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2014-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1136 | 54% | 2008-04-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 922 | 61% | 2007-06-30 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1013.1 vs 1013.9 has a 49.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).