Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 1184 | 19% | 2022-01-12 | Lost |
| 967 | 1030 | 41% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 882 | 1103 | 22% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 977 | 61% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2019-11-18 | Won |
| 1189 | 847 | 88% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1064 | 1007 | 58% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 1186 | 922 | 82% | 2007-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1051.7 vs 1019 has a 54.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).