Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 1175 | 19% | 2022-01-12 | Lost |
| 988 | 1031 | 44% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 942 | 1052 | 35% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1165 | 979 | 74% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2019-11-18 | Won |
| 1189 | 850 | 88% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1061 | 1027 | 55% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1137 | 43% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 1186 | 922 | 82% | 2007-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1037.5 vs 1027.9 has a 51.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).