Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (11 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 1133 | 23% | 2022-01-12 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-01-04 | | Won |
| 940 | 1103 | 28% | 2021-09-17 | | Won |
| 1107 | 1055 | 57% | 2020-12-23 | | Won |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2020-11-20 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-05-05 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2019-11-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2017-12-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2014-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1136 | 57% | 2008-04-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 922 | 61% | 2007-06-30 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1010.2 vs 1028.4 has a 47.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).