ASL Scenario Archive

Liberating Bessarabia

Games with no balance used/recorded: 178 (41 on the archive and 137 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (Romanian): 105

Defender wins (Russian): 73

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1000	1040	44%	2024-01-13	Won
1092	950	69%	2023-11-04	Won
1150	1000	70%	2023-04-22	Lost
1059	974	62%	2022-04-09	Won
1149	979	73%	2022-02-05	Won
1072	968	65%	2021-06-10	Lost
1007	1000	51%	2020-07-06	Won
1000	1066	41%	2018-04-24	Won
1133	1000	68%	2018-03-10	Won
981	1000	47%	2018-03-02	Won
1136	1089	57%	2016-11-03	Won
1218	893	87%	2016-08-03	Won
983	1000	48%	2015-12-30	Lost
1060	983	61%	2015-12-28	Won
1134	935	76%	2015-06-18	Won
1000	891	65%	2014-10-08	Won
1134	1053	61%	2013-12-05	Lost
1038	1000	55%	2013-06-16	Won
1010	1120	35%	2012-08-11	Lost
1201	1133	60%	2011-12-12	Won
1000	1108	35%	2010-10-22	Won
915	1000	38%	2010-04-13	Lost
963	1000	45%	2010-03-20	Won
1242	1000	80%	2009-07-13	Won
1015	1000	52%	2009-03-21	Won
1000	1074	40%	2008-02-01	Lost
1127	1000	68%	2006-11-20	Won
960	1253	16%	2006-10-28	Won
1029	1153	33%	2006-08-30	Won
991	1000	49%	2006-08-12	Lost
1000	1219	22%	2006-06-05	Won
1036	1000	55%	2006-05-27	Won
1051	1008	56%	2006-05-27	Lost
1000	1061	41%	2006-04-14	Lost
991	1000	49%	2006-04-09	Won
1104	1101	50%	2006-04-01	Won
1000	1138	31%	2006-03-11	Lost
1101	1000	64%	2006-03-07	Won
945	1185	20%	2006-03-04	Won
1000	1035	45%	2006-01-01	Won
1000	1086	38%		Won

Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1036.5 has a 51.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).