First Crisis at Army Group North
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
741 | 1008 | 18% | 2025-08-22 | Won |
1096 | 1144 | 43% | 2022-11-22 | Won |
1041 | 987 | 58% | 2022-10-26 | Lost |
1041 | 1256 | 22% | 2022-09-09 | Lost |
979 | 1070 | 37% | 2022-05-10 | Lost |
741 | 1145 | 9% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
1173 | 1175 | 50% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-05-05 | Won |
949 | 741 | 77% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
1076 | 942 | 68% | 2020-05-20 | Lost |
937 | 1061 | 33% | 2019-03-01 | Lost |
1228 | 1009 | 78% | 2015-04-07 | Won |
1038 | 1203 | 28% | 2015-02-08 | Lost |
1085 | 1256 | 27% | 2014-12-29 | Lost |
998 | 1016 | 47% | 2014-07-15 | Lost |
1087 | 1094 | 49% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
1065 | 977 | 62% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
900 | 1070 | 27% | 2013-02-13 | Lost |
927 | 1106 | 26% | 2012-05-15 | Lost |
1041 | 1186 | 30% | 2010-04-25 | Won |
1123 | 1138 | 48% | 2008-08-22 | Won |
1106 | 904 | 76% | 2007-11-14 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1017.9 vs 1068.6 has a 42.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).