The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1172 | 1063 | 65% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1048 | 1037 | 52% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1173 | 41% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1071 | 36% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 1217 | 1177 | 56% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 919 | 1026 | 35% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 958 | 1079 | 33% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1023 | 59% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1256 | 21% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 958 | 1039 | 39% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
| 1071 | 921 | 70% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
| 825 | 928 | 36% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1019 | 54% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1031.2 vs 1061.5 has a 45.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).