The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1010 | 68% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 946 | 969 | 47% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1027 | 1016 | 52% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1066 | 1046 | 53% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 925 | 1174 | 19% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1174 | 40% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1071 | 36% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 1219 | 1189 | 54% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 1107 | 1025 | 62% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
| 909 | 1026 | 34% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 961 | 1186 | 21% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 909 | 65% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 969 | 57% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1268 | 18% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 956 | 1040 | 38% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
| 1067 | 921 | 70% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
| 825 | 998 | 27% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 949 | 974 | 46% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1098 | 41% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1064.7 has a 44.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).