The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1135 | 1089 | 57% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1048 | 1019 | 54% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 924 | 1172 | 19% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1172 | 40% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 970 | 1068 | 36% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1139 | 61% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 1217 | 1077 | 69% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 919 | 980 | 41% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
| 933 | 1077 | 30% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 958 | 1059 | 36% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 933 | 62% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 950 | 1038 | 38% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1218 | 25% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 958 | 1039 | 39% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
| 1071 | 921 | 70% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
| 826 | 942 | 34% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1037 | 56% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1021 vs 1050.7 has a 45.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).