The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1212 | 1019 | 75% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 948 | 1032 | 38% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1173 | 41% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1071 | 36% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 1217 | 1196 | 53% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 918 | 1023 | 35% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
| 931 | 1037 | 35% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 958 | 1123 | 28% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 931 | 62% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 995 | 939 | 58% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1242 | 22% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 956 | 1040 | 38% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
| 1067 | 920 | 70% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
| 825 | 907 | 38% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 949 | 973 | 47% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1019 | 49% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1022 vs 1057.3 has a 44.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).