Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 186 (26 on the archive and 160 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 82
Defender wins (Russian): 104
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
952 | 1006 | 42% | 2024-03-17 | Lost |
1031 | 1058 | 46% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
1157 | 932 | 79% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
1005 | 1159 | 29% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
1023 | 1028 | 49% | 2020-07-14 | Won |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2020-01-14 | Won |
1006 | 1049 | 44% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
963 | 979 | 48% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
1115 | 1041 | 60% | 2017-10-17 | Won |
966 | 1109 | 31% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
917 | 989 | 40% | 2014-04-30 | Lost |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
1131 | 1049 | 62% | 2013-04-03 | Won |
1307 | 1112 | 75% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
1068 | 994 | 60% | 2012-09-24 | Lost |
1004 | 1137 | 32% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
1115 | 946 | 73% | 2010-11-18 | Lost |
989 | 1006 | 48% | 2009-12-12 | Lost |
1197 | 1080 | 66% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
1307 | 993 | 86% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
871 | 1003 | 32% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
952 | 1013 | 41% | 2006-09-05 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1063.9 vs 1049.3 has a 52.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).