Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (30 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 959 | 55% | 2024-03-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1008 | 53% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 1149 | 932 | 78% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 991 | 1173 | 26% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | 2020-07-14 | Won |
| 1115 | 1219 | 35% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2020-01-14 | Won |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1219 | 1115 | 65% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 963 | 979 | 48% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1039 | 58% | 2017-10-17 | Won |
| 960 | 1219 | 18% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 879 | 1058 | 26% | 2014-04-30 | Lost |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2013-04-03 | Won |
| 1310 | 1110 | 76% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1066 | 995 | 60% | 2012-09-24 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1137 | 52% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 919 | 1199 | 17% | 2010-11-18 | Lost |
| 1058 | 959 | 64% | 2009-12-12 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1081 | 59% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
| 1310 | 993 | 86% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 871 | 1019 | 30% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 952 | 1025 | 40% | 2006-09-05 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1196 | 39% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 911 | 1248 | 13% | 1993-06-11 | Won |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1081.6 has a 47.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).