Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (30 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 902 | 63% | 2024-03-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 989 | 56% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 1151 | 932 | 78% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 992 | 1173 | 26% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1030 | 1019 | 52% | 2020-07-14 | Won |
| 1117 | 1183 | 41% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1153 | 971 | 74% | 2020-01-14 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 986 | 55% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1183 | 1117 | 59% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 963 | 979 | 48% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-10-17 | Won |
| 960 | 1183 | 22% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 922 | 1065 | 31% | 2014-04-30 | Lost |
| 902 | 1109 | 23% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1102 | 54% | 2013-04-03 | Won |
| 1333 | 1110 | 78% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1067 | 995 | 60% | 2012-09-24 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 919 | 954 | 45% | 2010-11-18 | Lost |
| 1065 | 902 | 72% | 2009-12-12 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1081 | 59% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
| 1333 | 992 | 88% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 872 | 963 | 37% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 952 | 1025 | 40% | 2006-09-05 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1208 | 40% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 911 | 1139 | 21% | 1993-06-11 | Won |
| 1104 | 1090 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1067.3 vs 1058.2 has a 51.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).