Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (33 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 991 | 50% | 2024-03-17 | Lost |
| 1049 | 989 | 59% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 1152 | 931 | 78% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 972 | 1173 | 24% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1011 | 1020 | 49% | 2020-07-14 | Won |
| 1117 | 1102 | 52% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1139 | 970 | 73% | 2020-01-14 | Won |
| 1135 | 1179 | 44% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
| 1082 | 940 | 69% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1102 | 1117 | 48% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 949 | 979 | 46% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1040 | 60% | 2017-10-17 | Won |
| 959 | 1102 | 31% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 918 | 1098 | 26% | 2014-04-30 | Lost |
| 991 | 1134 | 31% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1072 | 59% | 2013-04-03 | Won |
| 1252 | 1111 | 69% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1071 | 996 | 61% | 2012-09-24 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 919 | 930 | 48% | 2010-11-18 | Lost |
| 1098 | 991 | 65% | 2009-12-12 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1083 | 63% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
| 1252 | 992 | 82% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 870 | 1007 | 31% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 952 | 1025 | 40% | 2006-09-05 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1208 | 31% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 1283 | 978 | 85% | 2000-07-15 | Won |
| 1283 | 1094 | 75% | 1999-04-30 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1149 | 68% | 1999-04-25 | Won |
| 911 | 1201 | 16% | 1993-06-11 | Won |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1081.3 vs 1062.9 has a 52.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).