Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (30 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1277 | 16% | 2024-03-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 982 | 57% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 1151 | 932 | 78% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 991 | 1174 | 26% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1048 | 1001 | 57% | 2020-07-14 | Won |
| 1117 | 1181 | 41% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2020-01-14 | Won |
| 1124 | 1176 | 43% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 985 | 45% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1181 | 1117 | 59% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 963 | 979 | 48% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1039 | 58% | 2017-10-17 | Won |
| 961 | 1181 | 22% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 877 | 1060 | 26% | 2014-04-30 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1143 | 68% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2013-04-03 | Won |
| 1329 | 1110 | 78% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1067 | 995 | 60% | 2012-09-24 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 920 | 1199 | 17% | 2010-11-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1277 | 22% | 2009-12-12 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1081 | 61% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
| 1329 | 992 | 87% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 871 | 987 | 34% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 952 | 1025 | 40% | 2006-09-05 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1208 | 30% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 911 | 1186 | 17% | 1993-06-11 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1070.6 vs 1094.7 has a 46.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).