Block Busting in Bokruisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (36 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-07-18 | Won |
| 1067 | 1091 | 47% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 968 | 1195 | 21% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1163 | 28% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-07-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-11-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-09-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 960 | 1036 | 39% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 999 | 50% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 984 | 1017 | 45% | 2016-07-04 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-06-29 | Tied |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 958 | 1163 | 24% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1040 | 55% | 2014-11-14 | Won |
| 999 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-07-20 | Won |
| 948 | 888 | 59% | 2014-07-04 | Won |
| 1032 | 1030 | 50% | 2014-05-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1032 | 50% | 2013-04-25 | Won |
| 1000 | 844 | 71% | 2013-04-10 | Lost |
| 813 | 1077 | 18% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 1042 | 859 | 74% | 2009-11-01 | Won |
| 940 | 1027 | 38% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1163 | 1069 | 63% | 2003-02-12 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1292 | 32% | 2000-04-23 | Won |
| 1048 | 919 | 68% | 1999-10-24 | Won |
| 841 | 1050 | 23% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
| 1046 | 1048 | 50% | 1999-01-16 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1005.6 vs 1023.4 has a 47.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).