Block Busting in Bokruisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (33 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1055 | 35% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1334 | 1170 | 72% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1184 | 36% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1226 | 896 | 87% | 2022-07-23 | Won |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1152 | 1177 | 46% | 2020-11-22 | Won |
| 1059 | 1217 | 29% | 2019-09-13 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1098 | 933 | 72% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 949 | 1057 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 1057 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 1057 | 994 | 59% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1057 | 904 | 71% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1102 | 959 | 69% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2016-07-04 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-06-29 | Tied |
| 967 | 1031 | 41% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1002 | 56% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1192 | 1184 | 51% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1184 | 44% | 2014-11-14 | Won |
| 980 | 1088 | 35% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1071 | 47% | 2014-07-20 | Won |
| 918 | 1086 | 28% | 2014-07-04 | Won |
| 1068 | 1059 | 51% | 2014-05-21 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1068 | 49% | 2013-04-25 | Won |
| 1016 | 991 | 54% | 2013-04-10 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2009-11-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1066 | 38% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1184 | 1066 | 66% | 2003-02-12 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1292 | 49% | 2000-04-23 | Won |
| 840 | 1065 | 21% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1055.7 vs 1077.5 has a 46.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).