Acts of Defiance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (41 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Russian): 43
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2025-12-26 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1042 | 46% | 2025-12-04 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1036 | 48% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1252 | 25% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 946 | 1177 | 21% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1282 | 999 | 84% | 2022-10-21 | Won |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2022-10-18 | Won |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 933 | 941 | 49% | 2021-09-02 | Lost |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2021-07-14 | Won |
| 975 | 1019 | 44% | 2021-03-09 | Won |
| 840 | 1097 | 19% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1079 | 44% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1135 | 56% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 1179 | 44% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 878 | 991 | 34% | 2018-12-31 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1252 | 36% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1049 | 48% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1052 | 1152 | 36% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1079 | 959 | 67% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
| 1108 | 1162 | 42% | 2017-06-27 | Lost |
| 919 | 897 | 53% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 995 | 1020 | 46% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1010 | 54% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-07-19 | Tied |
| 1098 | 918 | 74% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1071 | 917 | 71% | 2012-05-12 | Won |
| 1040 | 1010 | 54% | 2011-06-11 | Won |
| 1098 | 988 | 65% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1097 | 37% | 2009-04-05 | Won |
| 1177 | 1423 | 20% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1056 | 76% | 2006-02-12 | Won |
| 965 | 982 | 48% | 2005-05-14 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1010 | 54% | 2003-10-03 | Won |
| 1068 | 1045 | 53% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 959 | 991 | 45% | 1999-03-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 959 | 53% | 1998-03-13 | Lost |
| 940 | 1177 | 20% | 1995-08-02 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1058.2 vs 1053.8 has a 50.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).