Acts of Defiance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1310 | 21% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 933 | 1045 | 34% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1257 | 1018 | 80% | 2022-10-21 | Won |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2022-10-18 | Won |
| 1224 | 1017 | 77% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 1224 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 933 | 856 | 61% | 2021-09-02 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1039 | 45% | 2021-07-14 | Won |
| 910 | 1009 | 36% | 2021-03-09 | Won |
| 840 | 1140 | 15% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1219 | 26% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1116 | 58% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 877 | 1005 | 32% | 2018-12-31 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1310 | 28% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1003 | 1137 | 32% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 960 | 82% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
| 1094 | 1162 | 40% | 2017-06-27 | Lost |
| 914 | 896 | 53% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1029 | 60% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-07-19 | Tied |
| 1058 | 879 | 74% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1066 | 917 | 70% | 2012-05-12 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2011-06-11 | Won |
| 1058 | 989 | 60% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1140 | 31% | 2009-04-05 | Won |
| 1178 | 1412 | 21% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1051 | 82% | 2006-02-12 | Won |
| 965 | 986 | 47% | 2005-05-14 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2003-10-03 | Won |
| 1054 | 1036 | 53% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 920 | 1005 | 38% | 1999-03-29 | Lost |
| 927 | 920 | 51% | 1998-03-13 | Lost |
| 940 | 1248 | 15% | 1995-08-02 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1047.2 vs 1066.8 has a 47.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).