Acts of Defiance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (43 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Russian): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2025-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1061 | 43% | 2025-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2024-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2024-03-22 | A | Lost |
| 946 | 1188 | 20% | 2024-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2023-01-02 | | Won |
| 1211 | 996 | 78% | 2022-10-21 | | Won |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2022-10-18 | | Won |
| 862 | 1151 | 16% | 2022-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2022-06-28 | | Won |
| 1227 | 1014 | 77% | 2022-06-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2021-09-02 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1014 | 51% | 2021-07-14 | | Won |
| 987 | 1051 | 41% | 2021-03-09 | | Won |
| 840 | 1080 | 20% | 2020-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1075 | 44% | 2019-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2019-02-28 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2019-01-31 | | Lost |
| 889 | 1000 | 35% | 2018-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2018-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2018-02-17 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1162 | 32% | 2017-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-07-20 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2017-06-27 | | Lost |
| 919 | 898 | 53% | 2017-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2017-05-29 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2016-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1019 | 52% | 2016-09-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2015-07-19 | | Tied |
| 1147 | 928 | 78% | 2014-10-07 | | Won |
| 1071 | 917 | 71% | 2012-05-12 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1019 | 52% | 2011-06-11 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2009-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1064 | 62% | 2009-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2009-04-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1435 | 8% | 2007-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2006-02-12 | | Won |
| 965 | 982 | 48% | 2005-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1019 | 52% | 2003-10-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2002-01-01 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 1999-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 1998-03-13 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1140 | 24% | 1995-08-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 1056.7 has a 48.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).