ASL Scenario Archive

Acts of Defiance

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (German): 18

Defender wins (Russian): 19

With balance for the attacker (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (German): 0

Defender wins (Russian): 1

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1038	1038	50%	2024-06-30	Lost
1100	1329	21%	2024-03-22	Lost
933	1107	27%	2024-01-29	Lost
1158	764	91%	2023-01-02	Won
1268	1016	81%	2022-10-21	Won
1044	1041	50%	2022-10-18	Won
1228	1118	65%	2022-06-28	Won
1228	1017	77%	2022-06-28	Won
933	870	59%	2021-09-02	Lost
1010	1033	47%	2021-07-14	Won
961	1010	43%	2021-03-09	Won
840	1118	17%	2020-05-17	Lost
1035	1181	30%	2019-06-13	Lost
1176	1124	57%	2019-02-28	Won
1124	1176	43%	2019-01-31	Lost
878	764	66%	2018-12-31	Lost
1154	1329	27%	2018-05-05	Lost
1032	1032	50%	2018-02-17	Won
1046	1146	36%	2017-10-07	Lost
1181	961	78%	2017-07-20	Won
1096	1163	40%	2017-06-27	Lost
932	897	55%	2017-06-20	Lost
1104	1034	60%	2017-05-29	Lost
1020	964	58%	2016-10-08	Lost
995	1048	42%	2016-09-17	Won
1087	1094	49%	2015-07-19	Tied
1060	877	74%	2014-10-07	Won
1067	917	70%	2012-05-12	Won
995	1048	42%	2011-06-11	Won
1060	989	60%	2009-10-24	Lost
1003	1118	34%	2009-04-05	Won
1179	1413	21%	2007-09-08	Lost
1329	1055	83%	2006-02-12	Won
965	986	47%	2005-05-14	Lost
995	1048	42%	2003-10-03	Won
1069	1036	55%	2002-01-01	Won
932	764	72%	1999-03-29	Lost
1048	932	66%	1998-03-13	Lost
940	1189	19%	1995-08-02	Lost

Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1044.8 has a 51.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).