Acts of Defiance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1012 | 53% | 2025-12-04 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1340 | 18% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 946 | 1166 | 22% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
| 1206 | 979 | 79% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1261 | 1017 | 80% | 2022-10-21 | Won |
| 1084 | 998 | 62% | 2022-10-18 | Won |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 933 | 940 | 49% | 2021-09-02 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2021-07-14 | Won |
| 930 | 1013 | 38% | 2021-03-09 | Won |
| 840 | 1073 | 21% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1148 | 34% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 879 | 979 | 36% | 2018-12-31 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1340 | 26% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1047 | 1152 | 35% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1148 | 958 | 75% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
| 1109 | 1162 | 42% | 2017-06-27 | Lost |
| 918 | 897 | 53% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1035 | 60% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1024 | 979 | 56% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-07-19 | Tied |
| 1078 | 918 | 72% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1067 | 917 | 70% | 2012-05-12 | Won |
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2011-06-11 | Won |
| 1078 | 988 | 63% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1073 | 40% | 2009-04-05 | Won |
| 1183 | 1419 | 20% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1056 | 84% | 2006-02-12 | Won |
| 965 | 982 | 48% | 2005-05-14 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2003-10-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 1010 | 59% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1020 | 979 | 56% | 1999-03-29 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1020 | 48% | 1998-03-13 | Lost |
| 940 | 1185 | 20% | 1995-08-02 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1064.9 vs 1059.9 has a 50.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).